Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
57.6%
Resolved (30d)
1,111
Trades (30d)
3,992
4,402 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$44.1K
$44.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$312
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 10-31 03:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
88% 57% -$1,931
Politics
9% 61% -$7
Sports
3% 65% +$231
Crypto
0% 48% -$2
Tech
0% 67% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 352 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +15 $13 100¢ $15 +$2 10-28 10:51
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +15 $13 99¢ $15 +$2 10-27 21:56
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +15 $15 96¢ $14 $0 10-27 22:24
Trump out as President before 2027? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$0 10-20 15:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 $0 10-20 14:55
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 10-28 00:22
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 10-27 20:37
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 10-27 21:42
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 10-28 01:08
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 10-25 11:40
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-23 19:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 10-27 04:14
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-25 03:43
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-28 19:59
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-26 22:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-29 17:16
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? Yes +10 $4 96¢ $10 +$5 10-25 20:51
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-26 18:38
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-25 12:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-27 09:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$0 10-29 17:31
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-30 07:48
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-27 18:34
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-22 10:08
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-26 03:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-30 02:08
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 10-27 18:26
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 $0 10-23 19:31
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 $0 10-23 19:29
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 $0 10-21 11:28