Realized P&L
-$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
1,312
Trades
4,506
lifetime
Volume
$44.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$300
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-27
last 11-01 06:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Other
88% 58% -$1,922
Politics
9% 60% -$21
Sports
3% 65% +$231
Crypto
0% 65% +$4
Tech
0% 58% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 352 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +15 $15 97¢ $14 $0 10-27 22:24
Trump out as President before 2027? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$0 10-20 15:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 $0 10-20 14:55
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 10-31 16:58
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 10-28 01:08
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 10-25 11:40
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +10 $6 98¢ $10 +$4 10-28 01:09
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-25 03:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 10-27 04:14
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-26 18:38
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-28 19:59
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 10-29 17:31
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? Yes +10 $4 97¢ $10 +$5 10-25 20:51
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-26 22:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-29 17:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-27 09:27
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-30 07:48
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-25 12:16
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-26 03:05
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 10-23 19:50
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-27 18:34
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-22 10:08
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 $0 10-21 11:28
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 10-29 10:22
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 10-27 18:26
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 10-25 15:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 10-30 02:08
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $0 10-22 17:32
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 $0 10-29 17:47
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 $0 10-23 19:29