Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
28.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
11,116
lifetime
Volume
$71.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$375
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 04-29 11:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
42% 100% +$0
Sports
32% 0% $-3
Crypto
16%
Politics
9% 33% $-10
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -203 $-83 40¢ $-82 +$1 06-19 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -101 $-56 56¢ $-57 $-1 06-19 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -76 $-54 72¢ $-55 $-1 06-19 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -205 $-53 26¢ $-54 $-1 06-19 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -176 $-32 18¢ $-32 $-1 06-19 06:57
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -12 $-12 97¢ $-12 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -15 $-11 78¢ $-11 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -11 $-11 100¢ $-11 $-0 06-19 06:57
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? No -11 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -9 $-9 99¢ $-9 $-0 06-19 06:57
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No -10 $-8 82¢ $-8 $-0 06-19 06:57
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -12 $-6 54¢ $-7 $-0 06-19 06:57
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -6 $-6 93¢ $-6 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No -6 $-4 79¢ $-4 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No -8 $-3 47¢ $-4 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -9 $-2 28¢ $-2 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -3 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 06-19 06:58
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? Yes -5 $-1 21¢ $-1 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes -35 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -16 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-19 06:57
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-19 06:58