Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$117
Hit rate
28.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
11,139
lifetime
Volume
$71.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$206
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-19 06:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
42% 100% +$0
Sports
32% 0% $-3
Crypto
16%
Politics
9% 33% $-10
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -203 $-83 20¢ $-42 +$42 06-19 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -76 $-54 44¢ $-34 +$21 06-19 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -205 $-53 16¢ $-32 +$22 06-19 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -101 $-56 32¢ $-32 +$25 06-19 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -176 $-32 11¢ $-18 +$13 06-19 06:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -15 $-11 88¢ $-13 $-2 06-19 06:57
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No -10 $-8 91¢ $-9 $-1 06-19 06:57
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -9 $-2 92¢ $-8 $-6 06-19 06:57
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -6 $-6 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 06-19 06:57
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No -8 $-3 50¢ $-4 $-0 06-19 06:57
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -12 $-6 20¢ $-2 +$4 06-19 06:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -3 $-2 90¢ $-2 +$0 06-19 06:58
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-19 06:58