Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$1.61K

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

552 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$128.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$233

Open exposure

$14.6K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 09-02 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

79% 74% +$17,444

Crypto

16% 50% -$339

Sports

2% 0% -$2,635

Politics

2% 57% +$640

Tech

0% 0% -$184

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	No	+4,013	$3,510	99¢	$4.0K	+$479	09-02 05:50
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	No	+3,145	$3,000	99¢	$3.1K	+$101	06-06 15:46
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,163	$2,000	98¢	$2.1K	+$116	06-06 15:52
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,319	$4,700	39¢	$2.1K	-$2,636	06-08 11:58
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,050	$1,000	98¢	$1.0K	+$34	06-06 15:52
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	No	+943	$800	99¢	$930	+$130	07-01 11:54
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	+746	$500	89¢	$664	+$164	05-05 19:19
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	+517	$500	100¢	$516	+$16	05-20 10:30
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+173	$100	96¢	$167	+$67	09-02 05:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+294	$100	8¢	$24	-$76	06-06 19:55
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	+26	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	06-06 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	62	$21.3K	14,776	11,111	+3,665	Yes	+$1,758	04-28 14:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	12	$7.7K	22,176	18,794	+3,382	No	+$674	07-08 16:42
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt6 in march	14	$6.6K	8,172	1,250	+6,922	No	+$2,761	04-07 23:48
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	34	$5.3K	14,186	12,786	+1,400	No	+$90	04-13 16:45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	8	$4.7K	5,319	0	+5,319	open	—	06-08 11:58
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	30	$4.5K	8,468	3,500	+4,968	No	+$5,133	05-15 22:22
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	21	$4.2K	24,200	10,750	+13,450	Yes	+$540	05-15 23:22
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$4.0K	2,064	2,064	+0	open	—	08-28 00:27
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	6	$3.5K	4,013	0	+4,013	open	—	09-02 05:50
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$3.2K	3,747	0	+3,747	Yes	+$497	04-27 13:01
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	1	$3.0K	3,145	0	+3,145	open	—	06-06 15:46
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	6	$2.7K	3,908	0	+3,908	Yes	+$1,163	03-12 11:42
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	21	$2.6K	6,277	6,277	+0	No	-$1,013	04-24 11:47
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	3	$2.6K	1,371	1,371	+0	open	—	09-02 05:12
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	14	$2.4K	2,619	0	+2,619	Yes	+$225	03-17 11:30
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	12	$2.2K	1,670	1,670	+0	Yes	+$369	05-18 16:47
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,163	0	+2,163	open	—	06-06 15:52
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	4	$1.9K	611	1,410	-799	No	+$87	08-28 00:30
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$1.8K	68,462	0	+68,462	No	-$1,780	07-06 17:51
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	4	$1.5K	1,016	1,016	+0	No	+$264	05-18 11:52
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	5	$1.5K	779	779	+0	Yes	+$58	01-28 21:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$1.4K	997	679	+318	Yes	+$106	04-07 23:38
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,080	1,080	+0	open	—	08-28 00:23
will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	10	$1.2K	2,024	0	+2,024	Yes	+$776	01-28 21:50
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	1	$1.2K	1,228	0	+1,228	Yes	+$28	01-21 06:44
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?	7	$1.1K	1,066	396	+670	Yes	-$355	02-04 17:16
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	5	$1.0K	1,114	279	+836	No	+$273	03-05 21:28
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	523	523	+0	open	—	08-28 00:26
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1000	1,050	0	+1,050	open	—	06-06 15:52
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	1	$1000	1,034	0	+1,034	open	—	06-06 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 05:52:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x557f43…
09-02 05:52:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x75c433…
09-02 05:52:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x377ad1…
09-02 05:52:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x4ce215…
09-02 05:50:15	Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc19d4a…
09-02 05:27:19	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	557	90¢	$500	0x08f910…
09-02 05:26:51	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x7d7636…
09-02 05:26:10	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xee7386…
09-02 05:25:28	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	337	59¢	$200	0xb205fe…
09-02 05:23:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x2f873b…
09-02 05:16:33	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x622e20…
09-02 05:16:10	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,872	0¢	$6	0x15bd62…
09-02 05:15:52	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x9fd55f…
09-02 05:13:58	Will the US add at least 150k jobs in August?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x49bfe8…
09-02 05:13:07	Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb10d66…
09-02 05:12:27	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,371	95¢	$1,303	0xf3e10b…
08-28 00:30:12	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,057	98¢	$1,039	0x878b9b…
08-28 00:29:22	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	352	98¢	$346	0x8a18e0…
08-28 00:27:43	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,064	97¢	$2,002	0x1979c4…
08-28 00:26:03	Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	523	96¢	$501	0xe255b5…
08-28 00:24:52	Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	216	97¢	$208	0xdc1c05…
08-28 00:24:00	Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	217	95¢	$206	0x170bc9…
08-28 00:23:21	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,080	81¢	$880	0xc8eaa6…
07-10 20:53:53	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7,551	0¢	$15	0xac7b74…
07-10 20:53:19	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10,069	0¢	$20	0x0ba4b2…
07-10 20:40:25	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xda9183…
07-10 20:22:23	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x3ede9d…
07-10 20:21:10	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xe609a3…
07-10 20:13:02	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xae23f0…
07-10 20:12:22	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,263	2¢	$100	0x7a65bc…
07-10 20:10:31	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	513	2¢	$10	0x4526e6…
07-10 19:57:13	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0xbcc313…
07-10 19:56:28	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,762	2¢	$100	0xbb5a64…
07-10 19:55:29	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,968	2¢	$100	0x8aba0b…
07-10 19:55:20	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xbc3133…
07-08 16:42:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,127	24¢	$266	0xcbc5d9…
07-08 16:42:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,503	24¢	$355	0x1f9938…
07-08 16:42:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,004	24¢	$475	0xc8e451…
07-08 16:37:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,672	24¢	$633	0x86a12a…
07-08 12:56:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,562	20¢	$716	0xb087aa…
07-08 12:55:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,750	20¢	$963	0xda2f11…
07-07 12:13:43	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,870	2¢	$250	0x362aba…
07-07 12:04:10	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,870	2¢	$250	0xa7b45e…
07-06 17:51:11	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,692	3¢	$200	0x40bd92…
07-06 17:39:08	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19,615	3¢	$510	0x738e8f…
07-06 16:35:19	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19,231	3¢	$500	0x18bf7b…
07-06 16:05:59	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0x91239c…
07-06 16:05:50	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,923	3¢	$50	0x6a0947…
07-06 16:05:07	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0xc27612…
07-06 15:37:58	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,692	3¢	$200	0x10337c…
07-06 14:45:19	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,692	3¢	$200	0xf6be23…
07-06 14:44:38	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,846	3¢	$100	0x6b52a8…
07-01 11:55:26	Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in June?	Yes	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0xca442c…
07-01 11:54:44	Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	1,078	93¢	$1,000	0xa7eafd…
07-01 11:54:34	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	No	BUY	336	89¢	$300	0xc9c8f7…
06-30 17:42:46	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xbf4273…
06-30 17:41:14	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?	No	SELL	167	4¢	$7	0x2aacf7…
06-24 14:05:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	23¢	$231	0xd23d46…
06-24 12:35:29	Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0c9436…
06-24 12:35:14	Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?	Yes	BUY	1,039	2¢	$20	0x81bee4…
06-23 14:03:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,176	25¢	$535	0x4d3e8d…
06-22 12:30:52	Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?	Yes	BUY	992	3¢	$30	0xf2bf11…
06-18 11:26:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,275	16¢	$1,000	0x76aa70…
06-18 11:25:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,165	16¢	$500	0x897478…
06-18 11:24:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,367	16¢	$1,000	0x9ae8d5…
06-18 11:24:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,369	16¢	$1,000	0x33f312…
06-17 19:47:43	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	162	55¢	$89	0xec1240…
06-17 19:47:01	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0xc3e245…
06-17 19:46:46	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	67	75¢	$50	0x4bd2d4…
06-17 15:28:28	will warsh say jerome or powell during june press conference 20260608181156649	No	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xfed656…
06-12 12:38:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x4f6371…
06-12 03:27:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x02a263…
06-12 03:27:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x8ad25c…
06-11 15:12:10	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x2ac12b…
06-11 11:44:13	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2f3781…
06-11 11:44:03	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb8445e…
06-11 11:43:52	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x248010…
06-10 21:18:12	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0x6d42b9…
06-09 16:33:36	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0xf30c82…
06-09 15:30:48	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	434	69¢	$300	0xa2422f…
06-08 11:58:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	85¢	$200	0xc9c54d…
06-08 01:37:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	572	87¢	$500	0x2cb1d7…
06-08 01:36:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	587	85¢	$500	0x581de0…
06-08 01:36:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,174	85¢	$1,000	0x98c362…
06-08 01:35:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	587	85¢	$500	0xff19c4…
06-08 01:35:40	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	214	93¢	$200	0x40b86e…
06-08 01:35:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0xb65cc9…
06-06 19:55:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x629742…
06-06 19:55:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0x07fa5f…
06-06 15:52:36	Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,050	95¢	$1,000	0xb4e394…
06-06 15:52:18	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,163	92¢	$2,000	0x74cfd0…
06-06 15:50:18	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,473	0¢	$19	0x4e4d8d…
06-06 15:48:33	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x36a921…
06-06 15:46:10	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	No	BUY	3,145	95¢	$3,000	0x77bb86…
06-06 15:43:40	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x60cb77…
06-06 15:09:49	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?	Yes	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xb7061f…
06-06 15:08:52	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x756462…
06-06 15:08:09	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6ba05d…
06-06 15:06:34	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	Yes	BUY	463	86¢	$400	0x06d1f6…
06-06 14:58:43	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	1,034	97¢	$1,000	0x7477ad…