Realized P&L
+$4.54K
Unrealized P&L
-$120
Hit rate
82.1%
Resolved
658
Trades
817
lifetime
Volume
$79.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$129
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-14 18:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
43%
61%
+$3,028
Other
43%
47%
-$175
Sports
7%
41%
-$343
Crypto
7%
44%
+$2,021
Tech
0%
0%
-$25
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$36
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | +871 | $125 | 6¢ | $57 | -$68 | 06-05 12:59 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | -212 | -$107 | 18¢ | $-37 | +$70 | 06-24 14:14 | |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | Yes | +185 | $50 | 9¢ | $17 | -$33 | 05-29 23:23 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | +347 | $25 | 3¢ | $11 | -$14 | 05-29 23:22 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | +179 | $25 | 3¢ | $6 | -$19 | 04-28 22:52 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +52 | $12 | 3¢ | $2 | -$10 | 07-07 05:22 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | +313 | $46 | 0¢ | $0 | -$45 | 05-29 23:25 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| crint ind nzl 2026 03 08 | 6 | $7.8K | 6,405 | 2,186 | +4,218 | India | +$327 | 03-08 16:17 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 10 | $7.0K | 5,138 | 3,961 | +1,177 | No | +$1,269 | 03-28 15:38 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? | 1 | $6.0K | 6,232 | 0 | +6,232 | No | +$256 | 04-25 13:40 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 9 | $5.9K | 7,454 | 0 | +7,454 | No | +$1,520 | 04-16 19:06 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026 | 2 | $5.8K | 5,976 | 0 | +5,976 | No | +$224 | 04-24 12:26 |
| will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament | 1 | $4.0K | 5,708 | 0 | +5,708 | Yes | +$1,685 | 04-11 15:34 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | 4 | $3.8K | 4,644 | 2,322 | +2,322 | Yes | +$1,115 | 05-17 18:35 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 1 | $3.8K | 3,824 | 0 | +3,824 | No | +$38 | 03-30 17:57 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 1 | $2.3K | 2,434 | 0 | +2,434 | No | +$127 | 04-15 07:55 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 7 | $2.2K | 2,395 | 1,807 | +588 | Yes | +$1,535 | 06-20 23:17 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | 3 | $2.2K | 2,961 | 0 | +2,961 | No | -$2,200 | 06-23 20:54 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 2 | $2.0K | 1,087 | 1,087 | +0 | No | +$22 | 05-08 11:53 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $1.9K | 2,635 | 0 | +2,635 | Yes | +$735 | 05-29 23:18 |
| atp zandsch fritz 2026 03 20 | 2 | $1.1K | 1,395 | 0 | +1,395 | Taylor Fritz | +$332 | 03-20 20:51 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 4 | $750 | 1,424 | 0 | +1,424 | Yes | -$750 | 04-07 22:54 |
| will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4 | 4 | $639 | 674 | 466 | +208 | No | +$181 | 06-23 18:17 |
| fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5 | 2 | $550 | 1,056 | 0 | +1,056 | Under | -$550 | 06-23 21:00 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 2 | $534 | 793 | 793 | +0 | Yes | -$76 | 03-18 08:53 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? | 1 | $500 | 588 | 0 | +588 | No | +$88 | 04-23 14:00 |
| fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance | 1 | $499 | 684 | 0 | +684 | Paraguay | -$499 | 06-29 22:43 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | 3 | $450 | 1,004 | 0 | +1,004 | Yes | +$554 | 05-26 01:11 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | 3 | $431 | 260 | 260 | +0 | No | +$31 | 06-17 08:02 |
| fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5 | 1 | $389 | 764 | 0 | +764 | DR Congo | -$389 | 06-29 23:34 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 2 | $253 | 225 | 225 | +0 | open | — | 06-24 14:14 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | 4 | $250 | 1,056 | 1,056 | +0 | No | -$150 | 05-09 17:46 |
| atp ruud quinn 2026 03 20 | 2 | $250 | 451 | 0 | +451 | Ethan Quinn | -$250 | 03-20 18:09 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | 3 | $209 | 1,042 | 1,889 | -847 | No | +$109 | 06-24 14:15 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 1 | $200 | 394 | 0 | +394 | No | -$200 | 05-09 17:49 |
| will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026 | 2 | $200 | 196 | 196 | +0 | No | $0 | 07-07 15:41 |
| fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5 | 2 | $194 | 259 | 0 | +259 | Over | +$65 | 07-07 15:41 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||