Realized P&L
+$130
Unrealized P&L
-$142
Hit rate
71.9%
Resolved
353
Trades
2,714
lifetime
Volume
$22.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$495
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-16 00:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 64% +$391
Politics
6% 50% -$37
Other
3% 0% -$224
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -910 -$248 18¢ $-168 +$80 07-25 08:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,097 -$142 9¢ $-97 +$44 07-25 08:01
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -70 -$34 94¢ $-66 -$31 05-10 14:56
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -45 -$28 74¢ $-33 -$5 05-03 06:46
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -274 $32 10¢ $-28 -$60 10-16 00:51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -629 $91 3¢ $-20 -$111 10-16 00:51
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -855 $57 2¢ $-19 -$76 10-16 00:51
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -22 -$12 86¢ $-19 -$7 05-12 00:45
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$8 95¢ $-10 -$2 05-02 02:28
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$6 90¢ $-9 -$3 05-04 02:33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$4 66¢ $-7 -$3 10-16 00:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -60 -$10 11¢ $-6 +$3 10-16 00:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -90 -$4 5¢ $-5 -$1 10-16 00:50
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -40 -$12 6¢ $-2 +$9 05-06 00:27
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -50 -$24 5¢ $-2 +$21 05-12 00:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 -$2 8¢ $-2 $0 10-16 00:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$0 10-16 00:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 -$1 2¢ $-1 +$0 10-16 00:51