Realized P&L
-$534
Unrealized P&L
-$65
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved
1,553
Trades
4,775
lifetime
Volume
$70.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$840
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-24 10:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
37% 57% -$267
Politics
31% 59% +$622
Crypto
19% 56% -$634
Sports
12% 53% -$254
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +382 $179 89¢ $340 +$160 05-31 06:25
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -306 -$263 91¢ $-279 -$15 10-24 10:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -67 -$53 88¢ $-59 -$7 05-11 00:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +382 $198 11¢ $42 -$156 05-29 21:55
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -58 -$21 72¢ $-42 -$21 06-16 00:30
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -26 -$13 95¢ $-25 -$12 05-12 11:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -16 -$14 98¢ $-16 -$2 05-31 06:38
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -13 -$8 88¢ $-11 -$3 05-11 00:46
Trump out as President before 2027? No -9 -$8 97¢ $-9 -$1 05-11 00:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -10 -$4 62¢ $-6 -$3 06-03 18:30
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -6 -$5 98¢ $-6 $0 05-01 16:11
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No -8 $0 74¢ $-6 -$5 06-15 18:30