Thorny-Radiosonde 0xafc8e4…be2ca2
bot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
81.4%
Resolved
107
Trades
209
lifetime
Volume
$542
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$248
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 10-29 08:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Politics
71% 83% +$1
Other
16% 67% +$6
Crypto
12% 12% -$4
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Sports
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +617 $246 36¢ $219 -$27 09-06 16:32
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10 -$6 64¢ $-6 -$1 05-16 13:38
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10 -$4 34¢ $-3 +$0 05-16 13:38
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $6 29¢ $3 -$3 06-09 04:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-08 10:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-10 15:56
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 10-29 08:12
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 10-29 08:12
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 10-29 08:12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-01 07:13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-01 07:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-10 15:55
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $0 10-29 08:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-10 15:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $0 10-10 15:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3 $3 11¢ $0 -$2 06-18 13:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-01 07:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-18 13:08