Quixotic-Average 0xbbef15…749838
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
851
lifetime
Volume
$2.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$78
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-30 06:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
65% 0% $-11
Other
23% 100% +$2
Sports
9% — —
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -18 $-15 86¢ $-15 $-0 06-13 14:04
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -12 $-9 83¢ $-10 $-1 06-07 19:49
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 95¢ $7 +$2 06-05 20:58
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +21 $7 30¢ $6 $-1 06-18 16:28
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +8 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 06-15 03:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-14 06:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +7 $4 75¢ $5 +$1 06-15 14:30
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-20 06:55
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 74¢ $5 +$0 06-04 04:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +7 $3 57¢ $4 +$1 06-05 01:09
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +5 $4 75¢ $4 +$0 06-22 06:45
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-03 05:42
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +2 $1 65¢ $1 +$0 06-24 08:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 06-20 13:55
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 06-10 10:03
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +4 $3 5¢ $0 $-3 06-12 23:38
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +10 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-10 10:41