Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
880
lifetime
Volume
$2.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$116
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-02 07:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
64% 0% $-11
Other
24% 100% +$2
Sports
8%
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -46 $-41 90¢ $-41 +$0 07-01 15:14
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -26 $-21 86¢ $-22 $-2 07-01 15:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -18 $-15 72¢ $-13 +$2 06-13 14:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-0 07-01 15:14
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 07-01 15:14
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -12 $-9 66¢ $-8 +$1 06-07 19:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-6 $-0 06-14 06:41
Trump out as President before 2027? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-6 $-0 07-01 15:15
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +4 $3 $0 $-3 06-12 23:38