Meager-Wording — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,165

lifetime

Volume

$4.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-20 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-2

Crypto

44% 62% $-4

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	146	$1.1K	2,225	1,360	+865	open	—	04-22 09:08
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	12	$363	334	324	+10	open	—	05-05 13:37
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	22	$202	527	492	+35	open	—	04-26 15:56
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	36	$122	2,550	852	+1,697	open	—	04-07 12:52
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	14	$97	101	36	+65	open	—	04-21 13:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	04-09 21:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$35	34	34	+0	open	—	04-07 23:41
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	4	$23	95	95	+0	open	—	03-24 21:26
eth updown 5m 1776913500	3	$22	17	12	+5	open	—	04-23 03:10
eth updown 5m 1776907500	3	$22	16	11	+5	open	—	04-23 01:28
eth updown 5m 1776908400	3	$21	16	11	+5	open	—	04-23 01:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 18:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$19	31	31	+0	open	—	04-08 02:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$18	52	52	+0	open	—	04-23 11:19
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	4	$17	102	102	+0	open	—	03-24 21:25
btc updown 5m 1773871800	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	03-18 22:16
Iran leadership change by April 30?	6	$16	69	69	+0	open	—	04-09 00:49
eth updown 15m 1776734100	4	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-21 01:28
btc updown 5m 1776868500	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 14:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$14	38	38	+0	open	—	04-08 02:06
eth updown 5m 1776906300	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-23 01:10
eth updown 5m 1776906600	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-23 01:15
btc updown 5m 1776824400	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-22 02:25
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	3	$12	55	1	+53	open	—	03-18 21:37
eth updown 5m 1776944100	3	$12	11	6	+5	open	—	04-23 11:38
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	4	$12	24	24	+0	open	—	03-24 21:25
eth updown 5m 1776946200	3	$11	11	6	+5	open	—	04-23 12:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$11	99	99	+0	open	—	04-09 01:04
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	9	$11	1,199	20	+1,179	open	—	04-12 12:41
eth updown 5m 1776943500	3	$10	11	6	+5	open	—	04-23 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 03:04:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa8b281…
05-20 03:03:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x191e8e…
05-20 03:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbf222a…
05-20 03:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb83738…
05-20 02:57:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa3c57f…
05-20 02:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x401184…
05-20 02:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x023bf1…
05-20 02:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa31c45…
05-20 02:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc6bae5…
05-20 02:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdd0cdd…
05-20 02:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x653818…
05-17 21:26:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xcceebb…
05-17 21:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x203bfb…
05-17 03:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x2a6837…
05-17 03:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc8dd2d…
05-17 02:24:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9f206c…
05-17 02:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x5ccfd6…
05-17 02:01:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xed2ab5…
05-17 02:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x7fcef5…
05-17 01:32:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xdb961f…
05-17 01:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1a75e8…
05-17 01:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf089c6…
05-17 01:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x0ef6a1…
05-15 18:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5915f8…
05-15 17:51:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf7f57a…
05-15 17:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xa6ce6c…
05-15 13:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xb9c279…
05-15 13:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa1d7a6…
05-15 13:17:22	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x7700d0…
05-15 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x695d96…
05-08 03:16:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x998a25…
05-08 03:10:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xea3695…
05-08 03:09:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc37cca…
05-08 02:47:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe05639…
05-08 02:47:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x87711f…
05-08 02:46:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0ab023…
05-08 02:46:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe36217…
05-08 02:45:03	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd0f33c…
05-08 02:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbee550…
05-08 02:43:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa1c33f…
05-08 02:42:15	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7c9d19…
05-08 02:41:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xe33779…
05-08 02:41:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xca363d…
05-08 02:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd9c4bc…
05-08 02:40:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfd4697…
05-08 02:40:17	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe234ed…
05-08 02:40:17	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x63e84d…
05-08 02:40:03	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb54813…
05-08 02:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf74d5b…
05-08 02:35:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xddd344…
05-08 02:35:18	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcd2162…
05-08 02:35:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x296030…
05-08 02:35:16	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x361a8a…
05-08 02:35:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf28926…
05-08 02:35:09	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7577df…
05-08 02:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5751be…
05-08 02:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x41885c…
05-08 02:35:08	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xaca07f…
05-08 02:35:08	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x787cd4…
05-08 02:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x87bc9f…
05-08 02:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3230e9…
05-08 02:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x78bc51…
05-08 02:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfea692…
05-08 02:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x166e80…
05-07 20:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x222ac6…
05-07 20:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc3c469…
05-07 20:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4bbdfd…
05-07 20:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xfaceb0…
05-07 20:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xf68f91…
05-07 20:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x4aa611…
05-07 20:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x650725…
05-07 20:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x88cf49…
05-07 20:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xebe422…
05-07 20:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb6328b…
05-07 20:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0c16be…
05-07 17:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9888dd…
05-07 17:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd017a3…
05-07 17:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbb7b0d…
05-07 17:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x576d1b…
05-07 17:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe00924…
05-07 17:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbe3fc0…
05-07 03:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2d2c97…
05-07 03:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x187ea2…
05-07 03:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x17213d…
05-07 03:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc111cb…
05-07 03:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd272e5…
05-05 13:37:32	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	309	87¢	$268	0xebc1ea…
05-03 11:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9a695a…
05-01 19:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xd7f686…
05-01 19:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x2e5094…
05-01 19:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x860b29…
05-01 19:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdd3e72…
04-30 12:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa1da0a…
04-28 16:10:58	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x75d577…
04-28 16:10:36	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6bd3e3…
04-28 10:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x475fa4…
04-28 10:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0955af…
04-27 16:52:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x42d912…
04-27 16:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa3263d…
04-27 16:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x46975e…