Realized P&L
+$574
Unrealized P&L
+$400
Hit rate
87.6%
Resolved
187
Trades
421
lifetime
Volume
$53.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$8.40K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-06 09:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
52% 85% +$1,365
Politics
28% 78% -$889
Crypto
15% 72% -$97
Tech
4% 100% +$152
Sports
1% 100% +$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +591 $525 98¢ $581 +$56 10-21 10:33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +592 $460 97¢ $577 +$117 07-11 13:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +487 $423 92¢ $451 +$28 09-11 22:25
New pandemic in 2026? No +440 $415 98¢ $431 +$16 07-11 14:05
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +436 $400 99¢ $431 +$31 07-18 09:12
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +419 $400 97¢ $407 +$7 11-05 08:40
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +417 $400 93¢ $390 -$10 09-21 07:47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? No +413 $380 93¢ $384 +$4 10-21 09:27
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +366 $350 98¢ $358 +$8 11-05 08:41
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +308 $300 99¢ $303 +$3 11-02 10:40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -300 -$293 98¢ $-295 -$2 10-16 11:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $255 98¢ $292 +$38 07-19 04:18
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +294 $274 98¢ $289 +$16 10-11 11:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +299 $200 88¢ $264 +$64 05-01 10:21
No one announced as next James Bond? No +300 $239 85¢ $255 +$17 11-02 10:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -232 -$142 99¢ $-229 -$88 05-22 22:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +231 $200 94¢ $217 +$17 11-02 09:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +215 $200 98¢ $210 +$10 07-11 14:34
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +213 $203 98¢ $209 +$6 10-21 10:34
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +211 $200 98¢ $206 +$6 11-05 08:48
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +230 $200 88¢ $203 +$3 07-13 07:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +208 $190 97¢ $201 +$11 10-16 11:20
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +207 $200 97¢ $200 +$0 11-02 10:03
Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30? Yes +206 $200 97¢ $199 -$1 11-05 08:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November? No +209 $200 94¢ $198 -$2 11-02 09:57
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +198 $180 92¢ $183 +$3 11-06 09:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +122 $100 92¢ $112 +$12 10-29 10:21
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +115 $100 95¢ $109 +$9 10-11 11:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? No +119 $100 90¢ $108 +$8 11-02 10:16
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +108 $95 98¢ $106 +$11 11-06 09:04