Sophisticated-Octet 0xc73b2c…92a6c9
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Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
19,223
lifetime
Volume
$75.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$31
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 07-03 05:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Crypto
89% — —
Politics
9% 75% +$26
Other
2% 0% $-12
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $9 42¢ $8 $-1 06-29 08:30
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 06-16 17:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +10 $6 70¢ $7 +$1 06-12 17:45
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +14 $3 20¢ $3 $-0 06-13 01:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 07-02 14:39
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 +$0 06-22 13:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2 $1 75¢ $1 $-0 06-16 13:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -40 $-4 0¢ $-0 +$4 06-20 13:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -0 $-0 86¢ $-0 $-0 06-17 05:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 24¢ $0 $-0 06-21 11:44