(anonymous) 0xcb39d6…241d84 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$971
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
46.7%
Resolved
638
Trades
2,921
lifetime
Volume
$8.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$79
25 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 11-10 16:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 150 days
Categories
Other
41% 36% -$330
Politics
39% 38% +$28
Sports
13% 35% -$647
Crypto
4% 32% -$22
Tech
3% 62% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -32 -$13 50¢ $-16 -$3 04-29 00:35
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -70 -$13 17¢ $-12 +$1 07-08 18:48
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +9 $3 99¢ $9 +$6 11-02 16:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -26 -$10 31¢ $-8 +$2 04-29 00:29
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 06-16 13:28
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -19 -$1 27¢ $-5 -$4 04-29 00:29
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -35 -$3 14¢ $-5 -$2 05-05 19:44
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -8 -$5 50¢ $-4 +$1 04-29 00:29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -3 -$1 98¢ $-3 -$2 04-29 00:30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -3 -$2 89¢ $-2 $0 05-05 19:17
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$1 99¢ $-2 -$1 11-02 16:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-17 15:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 07-17 14:11
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -25 -$1 5¢ $-1 $0 04-29 00:29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 07-21 14:15
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -3 -$1 26¢ $-1 +$0 04-29 00:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8 $2 6¢ $1 -$2 07-17 13:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-09 18:46
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -26 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 00:35
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -5 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 00:35
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +5 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-23 15:47
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -8 $4 1¢ $-0 -$4 07-29 19:33
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -4 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 14:52
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 83¢ $0 $0 07-10 19:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 07-02 17:19