Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

30.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,700

lifetime

Volume

$3.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 07-21 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

57% 25% $-8

Politics

30% 0% $-0

Sports

10% 38% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+8	$2	30¢	$2	+$0	07-17 13:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+2	$2	94¢	$2	+$0	06-17 15:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	92¢	$0	$-0	07-02 17:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+0	$0	70¢	$0	$-0	07-17 14:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy up or down on april 22 2026	22	$231	119	119	+0	open	—	04-22 17:13
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	80	$186	165	150	+15	open	—	06-25 18:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	136	$170	180	180	+0	open	—	07-19 18:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	23	$168	168	137	+31	open	—	06-11 17:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	26	$144	359	359	+0	open	—	05-12 17:07
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	14	$140	177	127	+49	open	—	05-01 18:19
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	49	$138	445	443	+2	open	—	04-06 19:08
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	29	$119	78	77	+1	open	—	04-07 21:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$114	132	132	+0	open	—	04-29 00:35
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	77	$104	120	115	+6	open	—	04-24 14:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	9	$100	119	119	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-29 15:05
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	21	$58	4,100	2,067	+2,033	open	—	03-31 22:40
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	4	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	03-31 15:29
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	17	$55	64	64	+0	open	—	04-10 16:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	7	$51	540	536	+4	open	—	06-22 19:23
nvda up or down on april 2 2026	2	$49	74	50	+24	open	—	04-02 14:40
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	26	$43	144	63	+82	open	—	04-02 14:26
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	2	$40	27	27	+0	open	—	04-29 16:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	21	$36	188	188	+0	open	—	04-15 14:59
Nothing Ever Happens: March	24	$35	40	39	+0	open	—	04-06 17:42
aapl close above 245 on april 7 2026	15	$34	8,902	0	+8,902	open	—	04-07 20:00
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	31	$32	2,017	13	+2,004	open	—	03-25 20:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	15	$31	33	28	+5	open	—	05-07 19:03
qqq up or down on april 14 2026	9	$31	24	8	+16	open	—	04-14 18:24
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	21	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	04-08 15:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$30	21	21	+0	open	—	04-23 19:35
aapl close above 250 on april 7 2026	8	$29	3,203	0	+3,203	open	—	04-08 16:09
Will Netflix reach $105 in April?	4	$29	30	30	+0	open	—	04-08 15:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	13	$28	47	39	+8	open	—	07-17 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 16:07:15	mlb cin sea 2026 07 21	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd63667…
07-19 18:01:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2c58b3…
07-19 17:59:57	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19	PARIVISION	SELL	1	79¢	$0	0xa3a00a…
07-19 17:59:51	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19	PARIVISION	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xcee927…
07-19 17:29:34	mlb tb bos 2026 07 19	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4c6b0c…
07-19 17:29:28	mlb tb bos 2026 07 19	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x240ad7…
07-17 14:11:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xfc8534…
07-17 14:10:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x99c76e…
07-17 14:10:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xfddd58…
07-17 14:10:28	lol blg dk 2026 07 17	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x73b1d7…
07-17 14:10:16	lol blg dk 2026 07 17	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x172a99…
07-17 13:52:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x8c1750…
07-17 13:52:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x639e7e…
07-17 13:51:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$0	0x057e95…
07-17 13:51:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x99c082…
07-17 13:47:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x95aa50…
07-16 14:19:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x9e0d88…
07-16 14:15:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x4f7e13…
07-13 15:49:58	will trump say freedom at freedom 250 showcase 20260713143133747	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa8ec61…
07-13 15:45:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0db82b…
07-13 15:14:26	atp dzumhur rocha 2026 07 13	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x399e8c…
07-10 13:53:53	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread away 3pt5	Belgium	BUY	440	0¢	$2	0xdc6549…
07-10 13:38:01	atp fery zverev 2026 07 10	Alexander Zverev	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb88c5f…
07-09 19:08:16	msft up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd94d29…
07-09 19:06:47	msft up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb33906…
07-09 19:04:55	nbasl nop min 2026 07 09	New Orleans Pelicans	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x99e7a5…
07-09 18:25:58	aapl up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x79b488…
07-09 16:49:52	aapl up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x81a7d7…
07-06 22:15:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x9b3650…
07-06 20:44:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa73dd8…
07-06 19:13:26	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x473cbc…
07-06 19:07:07	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x005d2e…
07-02 17:27:07	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x25a085…
07-02 17:19:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x8f53bc…
07-02 17:18:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x74d334…
07-01 20:04:07	lol sge tog 2026 07 01	Team Orange Gaming	BUY	4,490	0¢	$4	0xcc0012…
07-01 20:01:47	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x5eb648…
07-01 19:58:17	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x3076d9…
06-30 17:08:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x387b0d…
06-30 17:07:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xbd008a…
06-30 15:46:29	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x9e9dcf…
06-30 15:36:29	cs2 mana1 pre 2026 07 01	Prestige	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x40e9f9…
06-29 19:43:50	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x4df0f1…
06-25 18:53:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xd23324…
06-25 18:07:56	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x84aa8b…
06-25 18:07:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0x818985…
06-25 18:06:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x12c1f4…
06-25 18:05:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x06576c…
06-25 17:57:31	mlb oak sf 2026 06 25 f5 spread home 2pt5	Athletics	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xf6fb3a…
06-25 17:39:04	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xdc5701…
06-25 17:37:55	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	191	0¢	$1	0xadd419…
06-25 17:35:25	mlb oak sf 2026 06 25 f5 spread home 2pt5	Athletics	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa841e7…
06-25 17:31:37	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb89127…
06-25 17:31:17	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x6bd090…
06-25 17:30:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x2275be…
06-25 17:29:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xa84773…
06-25 17:26:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xd7eaf3…
06-25 17:17:40	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6013a6…
06-25 17:17:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x23df11…
06-25 17:16:59	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	191	1¢	$2	0x2b6ebe…
06-25 17:09:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xdf79ae…
06-25 17:09:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0c69fb…
06-25 01:32:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 shots on target vinicius junior gte3	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xebf4cd…
06-25 01:32:32	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 shots on target vinicius junior gte3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa0061f…
06-25 01:29:05	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x2950f1…
06-25 01:28:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xa3bf90…
06-25 01:28:25	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xe644a1…
06-25 01:28:23	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x8db967…
06-25 01:28:22	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x22cc02…
06-25 01:28:20	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd6568e…
06-25 01:28:20	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x6023c6…
06-25 01:28:17	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x9402ad…
06-25 01:28:14	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x07b26b…
06-25 01:27:49	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x64fa07…
06-25 01:27:17	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x5f5df7…
06-25 01:26:55	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2220c5…
06-23 17:38:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x032acc…
06-23 17:36:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x24c6c0…
06-23 17:36:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1ec755…
06-23 17:33:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x0846e8…
06-23 17:32:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb7d424…
06-23 17:32:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x046579…
06-23 17:32:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x9b23bb…
06-23 17:32:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x434a34…
06-23 17:32:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x9ff934…
06-23 17:32:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x9f1312…
06-23 17:32:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x544e1d…
06-23 17:32:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb6d9d4…
06-23 17:32:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xc24266…
06-23 17:32:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x3a6a03…
06-23 17:32:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x82cdc3…
06-23 17:32:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xc70c86…
06-23 17:32:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x0fb6e5…
06-23 17:32:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xddda20…
06-23 17:32:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xd18bb9…
06-23 17:32:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x9fda50…
06-23 17:32:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb878c8…
06-23 17:32:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x257c05…
06-23 17:32:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x50a706…
06-23 17:32:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x0eddcb…