Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$36

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

7,282 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$49.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.45K

30 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-12 02:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

63% 17% -$939

Politics

19% 13% -$243

Crypto

13% 68% -$160

Sports

3% 14% -$16

Tech

2% 13% -$36

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+478	$354	97¢	$462	+$108	05-02 13:37
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+171	$97	97¢	$166	+$69	05-02 13:43
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	Yes	+163	$146	97¢	$158	+$12	05-05 11:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+104	$66	92¢	$96	+$30	05-02 05:26
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	+88	$26	98¢	$87	+$61	05-05 13:38
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	+83	$44	88¢	$73	+$29	05-04 02:02
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	+52	$36	97¢	$51	+$15	04-30 13:11
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+50	$33	97¢	$49	+$16	05-02 14:20
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	+40	$25	100¢	$40	+$15	05-06 07:41
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	+38	$14	99¢	$38	+$24	05-06 11:29
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	+40	$34	94¢	$37	+$4	05-06 18:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+40	$26	91¢	$37	+$11	05-02 08:19
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	+53	$21	56¢	$30	+$9	05-01 01:53
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	+30	$23	92¢	$28	+$5	04-30 20:10
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	+53	$38	44¢	$23	-$14	05-01 01:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+479	$129	3¢	$16	-$113	05-02 13:37
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	+10	$4	100¢	$10	+$6	05-05 16:47
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	+82	$53	12¢	$10	-$44	05-05 14:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+103	$39	8¢	$8	-$32	05-02 05:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+10	$6	76¢	$8	+$2	05-02 08:13
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No	+163	$28	3¢	$5	-$23	05-05 11:16
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+171	$76	3¢	$5	-$71	05-04 18:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+40	$14	9¢	$3	-$11	05-02 08:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+11	$5	24¢	$3	-$2	05-02 08:13
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	+40	$6	6¢	$3	-$4	05-06 18:49
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Yes	+30	$7	8¢	$2	-$5	04-30 20:16
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	+4	$40	57¢	$2	-$38	05-01 00:16
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	+53	$19	3¢	$2	-$17	04-30 13:15
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+51	$18	3¢	$1	-$16	05-02 14:19
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	No	+88	$63	2¢	$1	-$61	05-05 14:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	111	$1.6K	2,685	352	+2,334	Yes	-$8	05-05 19:16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 30?	177	$1.3K	687	686	+2	No	-$7	04-30 17:24
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	74	$722	1,142	243	+898	No	-$14	05-06 07:42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	44	$702	1,373	200	+1,173	Yes	-$3	05-04 19:03
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	42	$573	1,088	59	+1,029	Boston Red Sox	-$4	05-04 22:59
highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 17c	89	$567	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$17	04-21 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	41	$558	979	71	+908	No	-$2	05-04 18:58
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	23	$537	1,044	87	+957	open	—	05-02 13:37
Chirayu Rana fired?	28	$467	737	322	+415	cancelled	-$6	05-01 06:55
Kash Patel out by May 31?	30	$449	679	360	+319	No	-$7	05-02 02:28
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	36	$421	553	224	+329	No	-$3	05-10 13:07
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	25	$421	907	112	+795	Yes	-$16	05-05 15:09
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	34	$417	775	54	+721	Yes	-$5	05-07 11:06
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	41	$397	594	193	+402	No	-$8	05-04 04:41
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	21	$387	663	91	+572	No	-$3	05-07 17:39
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	38	$361	471	284	+187	Yes	-$8	05-02 09:12
highest temperature in seattle on april 21 2026 66 67f	38	$324	987	0	+987	No	-$1	04-21 15:57
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	14	$299	403	88	+315	No	-$4	05-02 03:37
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 8, 2026?	26	$298	457	67	+390	No	-$6	05-05 15:54
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	32	$295	507	64	+443	Yes	-$7	05-03 01:14
Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	18	$278	1,406	1,301	+105	No	-$18	04-28 22:10
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	23	$277	482	127	+355	Yes	-$5	05-04 00:54
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	17	$270	604	278	+326	open	—	05-05 11:38
highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 35c	59	$268	540	0	+540	No	+$5	04-22 02:07
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	8	$263	275	274	+1	Yes	-$5	05-08 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 1?	42	$263	163	156	+7	No	-$4	04-30 17:51
Will RED Canids win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?	10	$263	296	296	+0	No	-$9	05-06 14:05
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	22	$259	299	170	+129	No	-$5	05-10 20:22
Nothing Ever Happens: May	12	$254	448	91	+357	Nothing	-$5	05-01 04:51
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	22	$253	427	85	+342	open	—	05-04 18:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 02:21:11	Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x894791…
05-12 02:18:56	Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf48844…
05-12 02:18:14	Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x7b4172…
05-11 21:13:37	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x5e84e6…
05-11 20:23:43	Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x388d55…
05-11 20:22:28	Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xde9a02…
05-11 19:22:19	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460?	No	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0x3efbe0…
05-11 19:22:17	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0xb48977…
05-11 19:18:40	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460?	No	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0x5e1494…
05-11 19:15:05	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x193e92…
05-11 18:19:33	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0x54adee…
05-11 18:17:20	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xc67cf0…
05-11 18:16:47	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0x7f4618…
05-11 18:16:47	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	23	74¢	$17	0x38f5c7…
05-11 18:08:56	Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	BUY	23	68¢	$16	0x851f96…
05-11 18:08:04	Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0x6d0d11…
05-11 17:54:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x1d14c6…
05-11 17:53:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	BUY	35	64¢	$22	0x81bb9a…
05-11 17:43:51	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?	No	SELL	35	32¢	$11	0x0f86fb…
05-11 17:41:12	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?	Yes	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0x81ba3f…
05-11 17:39:58	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?	No	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xc559dc…
05-11 17:37:33	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?	No	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xf0ff63…
05-11 17:33:49	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xfb98c7…
05-11 17:27:56	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x1ded53…
05-11 17:26:35	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xd71498…
05-11 17:23:51	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x133140…
05-11 17:18:20	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	69¢	$19	0xfa608e…
05-11 17:15:42	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xeb7b60…
05-11 17:15:09	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xde9506…
05-11 17:14:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0x5b8469…
05-11 00:24:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0x4e5bab…
05-11 00:16:50	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x297649…
05-11 00:08:33	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xd4e227…
05-10 20:22:35	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0xe8a6ea…
05-10 20:21:39	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	45	69¢	$31	0x3751b6…
05-10 20:17:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x96c6e7…
05-10 20:09:51	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x853d62…
05-10 20:09:09	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x2aa979…
05-10 20:07:25	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x8cb61d…
05-10 19:44:54	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x9e2cda…
05-10 19:44:46	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xebcc7f…
05-10 19:41:09	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa25384…
05-10 19:13:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x21c612…
05-10 18:23:48	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7fbbc2…
05-10 18:17:10	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x9b90a1…
05-10 18:10:09	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0xcefa16…
05-10 18:06:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	45	70¢	$31	0xa8d80c…
05-10 17:57:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x082624…
05-10 16:59:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x09aab9…
05-10 16:36:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xa22e74…
05-10 16:23:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x659c67…
05-10 16:13:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x2a4dd3…
05-10 15:27:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x750a0c…
05-10 15:24:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x6918af…
05-10 15:14:55	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0x7322c9…
05-10 15:09:05	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xc8f441…
05-10 15:08:30	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x71ca09…
05-10 15:08:07	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x07c030…
05-10 13:37:02	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	29	33¢	$10	0x6b1e43…
05-10 13:29:32	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	29	43¢	$12	0xadd51b…
05-10 13:07:17	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xe449f6…
05-10 12:51:18	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x93e87d…
05-10 12:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	28¢	$17	0x675b69…
05-10 12:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc08e1e…
05-10 12:37:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x6ac5bb…
05-10 12:35:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xabbb99…
05-10 12:33:34	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0xd8beaa…
05-10 12:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x6f87bc…
05-10 12:29:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x005b9b…
05-10 12:23:33	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x2f1872…
05-10 12:00:55	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x367318…
05-10 11:59:05	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xd28f9b…
05-10 11:57:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$35	0x4c9a16…
05-10 11:39:05	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x144bda…
05-10 11:35:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xfe01a8…
05-10 11:28:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7eb0de…
05-10 11:21:50	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x3d9b63…
05-10 09:29:49	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0xf37b20…
05-10 09:23:22	Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xad7d0c…
05-10 08:51:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xbef75d…
05-10 08:47:35	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x733d17…
05-10 08:38:02	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x171f91…
05-10 08:35:32	Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x0537ad…
05-10 08:29:56	Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x11987d…
05-10 08:26:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	Yes	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x5d035f…
05-10 08:03:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0xe44ba1…
05-10 08:03:11	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0x1ea437…
05-10 08:01:56	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x18b849…
05-10 07:48:29	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0c49b3…
05-10 07:46:35	Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0x9e6703…
05-10 07:46:25	Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x56b2de…
05-10 07:41:19	Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x99cd83…
05-10 07:39:20	Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xd73dd7…
05-10 07:39:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x09c130…
05-10 07:30:12	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x754ed3…
05-10 07:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x5a36ea…
05-10 07:22:18	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1fde1f…
05-10 07:19:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x86bdcd…
05-10 06:44:52	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe91d12…
05-10 06:41:21	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x39add2…