Realized P&L (90d)
-$65
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
1.8%
Resolved (90d)
34
Trades (90d)
0
7,281 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$0
$49.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 05-12 02:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
63% 17% -$939
Politics
19% 14% -$210
Crypto
13% 68% -$160
Sports
3% 15% -$1
Tech
2% 13% -$36
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +478 $354 94¢ $452 +$97 05-02 13:37
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +171 $97 96¢ $164 +$67 05-02 13:43
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +112 $38 97¢ $108 +$70 05-02 09:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +104 $66 90¢ $94 +$28 05-02 05:26
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +163 $28 57¢ $92 +$65 05-05 11:16
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +88 $26 98¢ $87 +$61 05-05 13:38
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +83 $44 88¢ $73 +$29 05-04 02:02
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +163 $146 43¢ $71 -$75 05-05 11:38
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +50 $34 100¢ $50 +$16 05-04 18:56
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +52 $36 94¢ $50 +$14 04-30 13:11
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +50 $33 94¢ $48 +$14 05-02 14:20
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +38 $14 99¢ $38 +$24 05-06 11:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +40 $26 78¢ $31 +$5 05-02 08:19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +479 $129 6¢ $26 -$103 05-02 13:37
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +82 $53 12¢ $10 -$43 05-05 14:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +103 $39 10¢ $10 -$29 05-02 05:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +40 $14 22¢ $9 -$5 05-02 08:20
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +10 $4 79¢ $8 +$4 05-05 16:47
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +171 $76 4¢ $7 -$69 05-04 18:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $6 54¢ $5 -$1 05-02 08:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +11 $5 46¢ $5 +$0 05-02 08:13
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +111 $74 3¢ $3 -$70 05-02 09:27
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +53 $19 6¢ $3 -$16 04-30 13:15
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +51 $18 6¢ $3 -$15 05-02 14:19
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No +10 $7 21¢ $2 -$5 05-05 16:48
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +88 $63 2¢ $2 -$61 05-05 14:27
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +38 $24 1¢ $0 -$24 05-06 11:28
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $0 04-29 19:01
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +50 $17 0¢ $0 -$17 05-04 18:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-06 04:14