Realized P&L
-$1.36K
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
21.1%
Resolved
1,397
Trades
7,282
lifetime
Volume
$49.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 05-12 02:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
63% 17% -$939
Politics
19% 14% -$210
Crypto
13% 68% -$160
Sports
3% 14% -$16
Tech
2% 13% -$36
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +478 $354 94¢ $452 +$97 05-02 13:37
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +171 $97 96¢ $165 +$68 05-02 13:43
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +112 $38 98¢ $109 +$71 05-02 09:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +104 $66 92¢ $95 +$29 05-02 05:26
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +88 $26 98¢ $87 +$60 05-05 13:38
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +163 $146 52¢ $84 -$62 05-05 11:38
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +163 $28 48¢ $79 +$52 05-05 11:16
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +83 $44 84¢ $70 +$26 05-04 02:02
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +50 $34 100¢ $50 +$16 05-04 18:56
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +52 $36 95¢ $50 +$14 04-30 13:11
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +50 $33 95¢ $48 +$15 05-02 14:20
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +38 $14 99¢ $37 +$23 05-06 11:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +40 $26 83¢ $33 +$7 05-02 08:19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +479 $129 6¢ $26 -$103 05-02 13:37
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +82 $53 16¢ $13 -$41 05-05 14:46
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +10 $4 88¢ $9 +$5 05-05 16:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +103 $39 8¢ $9 -$30 05-02 05:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +40 $14 17¢ $7 -$7 05-02 08:20
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +171 $76 4¢ $6 -$70 05-04 18:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10 $6 60¢ $6 +$0 05-02 08:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +11 $5 40¢ $4 $0 05-02 08:13
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +53 $19 5¢ $3 -$16 04-30 13:15
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +111 $74 2¢ $3 -$71 05-02 09:27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +51 $18 5¢ $3 -$15 05-02 14:19
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +88 $63 2¢ $2 -$61 05-05 14:27
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No +10 $7 12¢ $1 -$6 05-05 16:48
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +38 $24 1¢ $1 -$24 05-06 11:28
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +0 $1 98¢ $0 $0 04-29 19:01
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +50 $17 0¢ $0 -$17 05-04 18:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +1 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-06 04:14