(anonymous) 0xcec443…ca9258
new
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
29
29 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$508
$508 lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$466
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 01:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62% — —
Politics
34% — —
Sports
2% 0% $-12
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? Yes +135 $130 96¢ $130 $-0 05-05 07:26
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +50 $48 96¢ $48 $-0 05-05 11:31
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31? Yes -56 $-34 68¢ $-38 $-4 05-06 00:29
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No -52 $-32 66¢ $-34 $-2 05-06 00:43
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No -52 $-34 66¢ $-34 $-0 05-06 01:29
Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election? No +44 $28 66¢ $29 +$1 05-05 21:10
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $96 in May? No +37 $24 68¢ $25 +$1 05-05 16:07
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? No +52 $20 36¢ $18 $-2 05-05 17:54
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31? No +57 $22 32¢ $18 $-4 05-06 00:28
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +20 $13 68¢ $14 +$0 05-04 23:49
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026? Yes +20 $14 65¢ $13 $-1 05-05 13:00
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22? Yes -20 $-9 57¢ $-12 $-2 05-06 01:19
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of May 4 2026? No -16 $-8 70¢ $-11 $-3 05-05 15:52
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026? No +25 $10 35¢ $9 $-1 05-04 22:44
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k? Yes +25 $9 35¢ $9 $-0 05-05 13:25
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $87.50 Week of May 4 2026? Yes +8 $7 76¢ $6 $-1 05-05 16:29
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 8, 2026? Yes +13 $4 32¢ $4 $-0 05-04 22:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026? Yes +30 $3 11¢ $3 +$0 05-05 16:02
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No +4 $3 64¢ $3 $-0 05-05 16:39
Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? No +20 $7 11¢ $2 $-5 05-04 20:03
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3? Yes +29 $2 6¢ $2 $-1 05-05 16:44
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? Yes -14 $-2 12¢ $-2 +$0 05-05 19:42
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election? No +20 $2 6¢ $1 $-0 05-05 12:56
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? Yes +15 $1 7¢ $1 $-0 05-05 19:06