Realized P&L
-$50.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$320
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
393
Trades
5,796
lifetime
Volume
$2.48M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$428
Open exposure
$11.5K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 10-13 07:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Politics
88% 76% -$61,019
Other
12% 79% +$10,235
Crypto
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,000 $4,530 82¢ $5.0K +$420 05-06 13:40
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -1,040 -$520 92¢ $-957 -$437 06-04 08:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,000 $790 94¢ $935 +$145 04-29 14:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +700 $553 96¢ $672 +$119 10-03 14:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -600 -$486 94¢ $-567 -$81 06-09 21:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +600 $564 90¢ $543 -$21 09-30 00:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +500 $464 98¢ $488 +$23 05-03 06:13
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -500 -$420 84¢ $-422 -$2 07-26 20:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +400 $344 97¢ $387 +$43 05-02 04:32
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +400 $300 94¢ $378 +$78 05-01 16:03
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +400 $304 94¢ $376 +$72 05-03 20:04
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -275 -$245 97¢ $-266 -$22 05-01 22:11
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo No +200 $174 96¢ $192 +$18 05-04 09:26
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -200 -$100 84¢ $-169 -$69 06-02 22:45
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +100 $75 94¢ $94 +$20 05-03 16:08
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +104 $79 89¢ $93 +$14 05-02 03:51