Realized P&L (30d)
+$149
Unrealized P&L
+$620
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
2
5,796 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$198
$2.48M lifetime
Avg / trade
$428
Open exposure
$11.5K
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 10-13 07:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Politics
88% 76% -$61,019
Other
12% 79% +$10,382
Crypto
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,000 $4,530 90¢ $5.4K +$840 05-06 13:40
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -1,040 -$520 96¢ $-1000 -$480 06-04 08:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,000 $790 97¢ $974 +$184 04-29 14:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -600 -$486 98¢ $-585 -$99 06-09 21:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +600 $564 96¢ $573 +$9 09-30 00:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +500 $464 98¢ $492 +$28 05-03 06:13
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -500 -$420 91¢ $-455 -$35 07-26 20:08
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +400 $304 98¢ $394 +$90 05-03 20:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +400 $344 98¢ $391 +$47 05-02 04:32
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +400 $300 97¢ $387 +$87 05-01 16:03
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -275 -$245 99¢ $-271 -$26 05-01 22:11
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo No +200 $174 96¢ $191 +$17 05-04 09:26
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -200 -$100 92¢ $-185 -$85 06-02 22:45
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +104 $79 96¢ $101 +$21 05-02 03:51
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +100 $75 97¢ $97 +$22 05-03 16:08