Realized P&L
-$136
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved
111
Trades
889
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-09
last 10-26 23:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
70% 80% -$40
Politics
24% 43% -$76
Tech
5% 75% $0
Crypto
1% 50% -$20
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +53 $49 97¢ $52 +$2 10-07 14:55
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +53 $49 96¢ $51 +$2 10-12 11:30
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +54 $50 94¢ $51 +$1 10-14 22:54
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +64 $49 80¢ $51 +$2 10-09 20:41
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +60 $49 85¢ $51 +$2 10-11 13:41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +54 $50 92¢ $50 +$0 10-07 15:05
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +75 $49 66¢ $50 +$1 10-05 17:28
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +56 $49 88¢ $50 +$0 10-20 19:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +60 $49 82¢ $50 +$0 10-19 22:44
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +54 $50 92¢ $49 $0 10-07 14:26
US recession by end of 2026? No +53 $49 92¢ $49 $0 10-07 16:25
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +58 $50 84¢ $49 -$1 10-07 08:21
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +60 $50 80¢ $48 -$1 10-07 14:55
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +55 $50 88¢ $48 -$1 10-08 08:01
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +56 $49 86¢ $48 -$1 10-07 09:26
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +55 $46 86¢ $48 +$2 10-15 05:51
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +59 $50 78¢ $46 -$4 10-07 16:31
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +53 $46 86¢ $45 -$1 10-14 15:41
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +55 $39 80¢ $44 +$4 10-15 12:44
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +56 $49 78¢ $43 -$5 10-14 13:24
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +44 $42 96¢ $42 +$0 10-17 21:26
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +32 $28 93¢ $30 +$2 10-13 04:33
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +29 $27 97¢ $28 +$1 10-08 12:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +28 $26 94¢ $26 $0 10-11 23:10
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +29 $25 87¢ $25 +$0 10-12 17:55
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +24 $22 96¢ $23 +$1 10-14 08:39
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +25 $21 84¢ $21 +$0 10-11 13:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +39 $20 48¢ $19 -$1 10-26 01:33
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +22 $18 77¢ $17 -$1 10-11 13:14
ilhan omar federally charged by october 31 2026 No +17 $16 96¢ $16 +$0 10-14 14:10