(anonymous) 0xd662ae…645d1d
cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.09K
Unrealized P&L
-$78
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
38
Trades
977
lifetime
Volume
$56.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$52.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 01:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
55% 100% +$0
Sports
23% 42% -$1,087
Other
18% 100% +$1
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11,455 $10,042 95¢ $10.9K +$840 10-16 12:09
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,218 $4,946 94¢ $4.9K -$48 10-13 12:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,498 $4,223 94¢ $4.3K +$28 10-20 11:51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +4,057 $3,954 98¢ $4.0K +$4 10-14 05:51
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,824 $3,417 88¢ $3.4K -$50 10-29 17:47
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,487 $3,376 96¢ $3.4K -$13 10-29 06:08
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,270 $3,151 96¢ $3.1K -$24 10-27 14:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,291 $3,098 94¢ $3.1K -$21 10-29 17:31
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,394 $2,938 88¢ $3.0K +$34 10-14 23:33
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,643 $1,523 93¢ $1.5K +$5 10-29 17:38
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,458 $1,413 96¢ $1.4K -$8 10-20 03:57
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +1,727 $1,360 76¢ $1.3K -$39 10-29 19:15
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,327 $1,292 98¢ $1.3K +$9 10-10 08:36
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,233 $1,189 98¢ $1.2K +$20 10-20 19:26
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +891 $870 98¢ $870 $0 10-28 01:07
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +11,455 $1,459 5¢ $573 -$886 10-17 13:42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +563 $527 92¢ $521 -$6 09-30 16:51
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +503 $479 97¢ $489 +$10 09-24 22:08
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +485 $468 97¢ $469 +$1 10-18 16:13
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,394 $473 12¢ $423 -$50 10-17 16:50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,512 $368 12¢ $420 +$52 10-29 19:27
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,218 $293 6¢ $321 +$28 10-17 12:19
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +319 $304 95¢ $303 -$1 10-20 12:33
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +1,087 $233 24¢ $256 +$23 10-29 17:19
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +268 $247 93¢ $249 +$3 10-22 15:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4,498 $287 6¢ $247 -$40 10-16 10:16
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +235 $230 98¢ $231 +$0 10-23 09:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +3,311 $183 6¢ $215 +$32 10-30 01:42
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,855 $100 4¢ $124 +$24 10-27 04:43
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +1,611 $119 7¢ $113 -$6 10-29 05:24