Realized P&L
-$1.97K
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
16.5%
Resolved
1,569
Trades
10,273
lifetime
Volume
$71.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$79
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 06-18 05:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Other
56% 19% -$1,140
Politics
35% 21% -$647
Tech
5% 17% -$94
Sports
2% 11% -$29
Crypto
1% 8% -$14
Pop-Culture
1% 25% -$50
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -21 -$20 98¢ $-21 -$1 04-29 06:29
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No -21 -$12 97¢ $-20 -$8 04-28 19:44
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -15 -$13 98¢ $-15 -$1 06-09 10:33
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -12 -$12 56¢ $-7 +$5 06-09 10:33
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -3 -$2 94¢ $-3 $0 06-09 10:01
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 06-09 10:21
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 06-09 10:14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? No -1 $0 98¢ $-1 -$1 05-27 21:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 06-09 10:00
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -1 -$1 90¢ $-1 $0 06-04 18:02
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 06-04 18:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? No -1 $0 92¢ $-1 -$1 06-09 10:16
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -1 -$1 86¢ $-1 $0 06-09 10:05
Tom Lee charged by December 31? Yes -21 -$1 2¢ $-1 +$1 05-29 04:51
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -1 $0 80¢ $-1 $0 06-09 10:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -3 -$1 16¢ $-0 +$1 05-20 18:42
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -1 $0 93¢ $-0 $0 06-09 10:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -0 $0 94¢ $-0 $0 06-09 10:17
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No -1 $0 41¢ $-0 $0 06-03 12:59
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -0 $0 95¢ $-0 -$1 06-09 10:22
Vanta IPO before 2027? No -0 $0 95¢ $-0 $0 06-09 10:23
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes -12 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 04-28 17:13
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No -2 $0 11¢ $-0 +$0 06-10 08:12
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -0 $0 92¢ $-0 $0 06-09 10:26
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $0 8¢ $-0 +$0 06-03 12:59
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No -1 $0 20¢ $-0 $0 06-09 10:33
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No -0 $2 99¢ $-0 -$2 06-09 10:22
Brex IPO before 2027? No -0 $0 99¢ $-0 $0 06-09 10:31
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -0 $0 98¢ $-0 $0 06-09 10:32
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes -2 $1 5¢ $-0 -$1 06-03 12:59