(anonymous) 0xd8a5aa…95d686
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
-$87
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
23
Trades
1,064
lifetime
Volume
$69.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$64.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
62% — —
Sports
23% 61% +$22
Other
14% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +9,027 $8,677 96¢ $8.7K -$16 10-17 12:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,851 $7,245 90¢ $7.1K -$168 10-18 14:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,069 $5,501 92¢ $5.6K +$52 10-14 19:13
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6,175 $5,737 90¢ $5.6K -$186 10-06 16:21
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,680 $5,340 95¢ $5.4K +$56 09-30 07:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +6,009 $5,257 86¢ $5.2K -$59 10-19 14:11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,374 $4,713 90¢ $4.8K +$96 10-19 10:32
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,976 $3,856 98¢ $3.9K +$24 10-26 22:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,091 $3,788 94¢ $3.8K +$48 09-28 01:51
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,335 $1,948 82¢ $1.9K -$45 10-26 21:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,193 $1,869 85¢ $1.9K +$4 10-27 08:44
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,531 $1,499 98¢ $1.5K +$4 10-26 18:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,644 $1,380 86¢ $1.4K +$29 09-17 01:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,009 $765 14¢ $811 +$47 10-19 04:43
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,851 $643 10¢ $773 +$131 10-20 04:28
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,175 $480 10¢ $624 +$143 10-10 08:11
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +640 $620 97¢ $619 $0 10-27 01:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +638 $596 94¢ $603 +$7 10-19 05:01
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,374 $670 11¢ $564 -$105 10-18 07:04
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +634 $559 88¢ $555 -$4 10-26 08:40
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,069 $577 8¢ $516 -$61 10-19 16:04
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +482 $470 98¢ $470 -$1 09-18 13:24
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,239 $380 18¢ $414 +$34 10-26 22:53
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +428 $386 90¢ $383 -$2 10-24 20:27
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +9,027 $358 4¢ $366 +$8 10-14 10:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,190 $332 15¢ $321 -$11 10-26 13:56
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +320 $311 97¢ $310 $0 10-20 16:19
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +326 $288 92¢ $300 +$12 10-13 09:01
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,680 $338 5¢ $284 -$54 09-26 13:14
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,091 $324 6¢ $256 -$69 09-29 22:05