Watchful-Fund 0xdc8347…aabcd2
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1.19K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
822
lifetime
Volume
$265.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$323
Open exposure
$50.4K
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 06-29 21:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
84% — —
Crypto
7% — —
Other
7% — —
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +47,072 $45,742 100¢ $46.9K +$1,165 06-23 23:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +2,080 $1,986 100¢ $2.1K +$92 06-22 11:10
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -810 $-800 100¢ $-809 $-9 06-14 22:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 $-450 92¢ $-458 $-8 06-14 22:13
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -334 $-108 40¢ $-132 $-24 06-14 22:13
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +45 $37 89¢ $40 +$3 06-23 12:43
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No +500 $22 0¢ $1 $-22 06-28 13:44
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +16 $10 3¢ $0 $-10 06-10 15:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $0 $-0 06-21 21:29