Watchful-Fund 0xdc8347…aabcd2
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$9.86K
Unrealized P&L
-$256
Hit rate
82.7%
Resolved
119
Trades
1,121
lifetime
Volume
$352.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$314
Open exposure
$11.0K
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 10-27 21:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Politics
72% 67% +$5,288
Other
15% 57% +$3,174
Tech
7% 62% +$2,066
Crypto
6% 20% -$671
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,867 $6,470 94¢ $6.4K -$49 10-27 21:32
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +2,007 $1,893 95¢ $1.9K +$8 10-12 19:03
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,123 $564 76¢ $859 +$294 09-17 17:50
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +644 $344 76¢ $490 +$145 09-23 22:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 -$450 96¢ $-481 -$31 06-14 22:13
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +719 $675 62¢ $449 -$226 10-05 15:08
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +400 $211 35¢ $141 -$70 10-27 20:19
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +416 $187 23¢ $96 -$92 09-10 16:56
will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923 Yes +241 $146 34¢ $83 -$63 10-12 19:21
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +200 $101 24¢ $48 -$53 09-23 17:23
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $76 24¢ $24 -$52 09-10 16:55
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $15 6¢ $6 -$9 05-14 21:59
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -28 $36 12¢ $-3 -$39 06-14 22:13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +84 $24 3¢ $3 -$21 09-30 22:25