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Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
1,813 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$19.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$306
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 07-16 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
45% 46% -$40
Other
35% 54% -$158
Crypto
17% 72% -$100
Sports
2% 67% -$17
Tech
0% 67% -$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -27 -$24 97¢ $-27 -$3 06-04 17:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -33 -$21 77¢ $-26 -$5 05-22 19:30
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -140 -$30 18¢ $-25 +$5 04-29 20:05
Trump out as President before 2027? No -24 -$20 98¢ $-23 -$3 05-03 18:40
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -23 -$21 99¢ $-22 -$2 06-04 17:39
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No -22 -$20 98¢ $-21 -$1 05-03 18:40
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes -18 -$10 100¢ $-18 -$8 06-04 17:39
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -18 -$16 96¢ $-17 -$2 07-08 12:34
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -17 -$15 98¢ $-17 -$2 05-03 18:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -33 -$21 50¢ $-17 +$4 07-08 12:34
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No -44 -$15 32¢ $-14 +$1 04-29 20:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -16 -$11 86¢ $-14 -$3 05-22 19:30
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -13 -$10 94¢ $-12 -$2 07-08 12:34
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -12 -$10 86¢ $-11 $0 05-11 07:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -9 -$8 98¢ $-8 -$1 06-12 07:49
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -8 -$7 98¢ $-8 -$1 04-29 20:06
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -8 -$7 96¢ $-8 -$1 07-16 18:53
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -8 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 07-16 18:53
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -11 -$7 50¢ $-6 +$1 04-29 20:06
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$15 1¢ $-4 +$11 05-22 19:30