Slight-Sundial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.0%

Resolved

138

Trades

477

lifetime

Volume

$474

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-31 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

52% 8% -$5

Politics

36% 12% -$1

Crypto

9% 36% $0

Sports

2% 67% +$0

Tech

2% 25% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	23	$22	19	20	-2	No	+$0	02-10 02:57
Trump out as President by May 31?	14	$16	8	8	+0	No	$0	05-13 07:46
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	12	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	07-11 06:53
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	10	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	06-15 07:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	04-21 08:23
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-23 03:53
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	05-30 02:14
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-15 04:40
Trump out as President by April 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	04-24 03:43
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-21 04:54
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-17 06:37
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-29 08:54
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-31 03:49
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 03:40
US military draft authorized in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 06:34
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-07 06:06
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on July 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-08 03:47
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-31 03:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	05-19 06:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-23 07:00
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-15 04:41
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-18 07:54
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-25 07:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-26 08:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 09:30
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-18 07:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-16 08:40
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-01 06:54
will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-18 06:35
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-10 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 03:49:56	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x76cba2…
07-31 03:49:33	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7b8699…
07-31 03:34:03	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb442f6…
07-31 03:33:03	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5b3493…
07-30 07:00:29	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x399503…
07-30 06:59:45	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa33405…
07-30 06:18:17	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6b1ef5…
07-30 06:17:09	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf2e2df…
07-29 08:54:53	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb3661b…
07-29 08:54:06	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xde2799…
07-29 08:25:08	Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x16db53…
07-29 08:23:36	Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd950d9…
07-28 06:20:36	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc8dba4…
07-28 06:20:03	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xefc6db…
07-28 03:58:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51f765…
07-28 03:58:00	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x20b483…
07-27 10:02:52	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xadc81a…
07-27 10:02:19	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7d199d…
07-27 09:41:15	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x98ff67…
07-27 09:39:46	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f27c8…
07-25 07:35:24	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2759f1…
07-25 07:34:55	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x23aed9…
07-25 07:11:10	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8f354b…
07-25 07:09:15	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7bf741…
07-24 09:02:25	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc9878d…
07-24 09:01:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5dc9fd…
07-24 08:35:30	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcde00c…
07-24 08:34:13	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x31be57…
07-23 07:02:51	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x9d5210…
07-23 07:02:13	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa08449…
07-23 06:40:10	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x31cb52…
07-23 06:39:10	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x29bcdf…
07-22 10:27:27	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbf0ac9…
07-22 10:26:19	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xab82fa…
07-22 10:10:18	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe16cc8…
07-22 10:09:10	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x693bcf…
07-21 04:55:04	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x07cc54…
07-21 04:54:33	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa95c9d…
07-21 03:46:00	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd6a37c…
07-21 03:44:15	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x29e19c…
07-20 07:37:46	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x010a18…
07-20 07:37:19	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcd4481…
07-20 07:17:58	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2a7c7…
07-20 07:16:37	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e49e5…
07-18 06:35:34	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5cf11f…
07-18 06:34:46	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xedacd2…
07-18 04:44:12	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcb441a…
07-18 04:43:45	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x572ab4…
07-17 02:56:51	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xef855e…
07-17 02:56:18	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xff93e0…
07-17 02:43:39	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xebcebb…
07-17 02:42:58	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x460a33…
07-16 02:09:44	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8c85c6…
07-16 02:09:14	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6e56c7…
07-16 01:59:23	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbd9d39…
07-16 01:58:31	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb71732…
07-15 04:41:29	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe54c45…
07-15 04:40:53	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x431229…
07-15 04:25:04	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x351de5…
07-15 04:23:11	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf96b71…
07-14 03:15:31	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x264f27…
07-14 03:15:02	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7ee3af…
07-14 03:02:58	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7930ee…
07-14 03:02:02	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ee77e…
07-13 07:49:29	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x00f746…
07-13 07:48:59	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x39497a…
07-13 07:21:47	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3ec765…
07-13 07:21:08	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c843f…
07-11 06:53:47	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f0cb1…
07-11 06:53:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2b0b0f…
07-11 06:30:14	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ab8bd…
07-11 06:27:59	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa3123d…
07-10 04:36:58	will cxmt ipo by august 31 2026 20260629164309099	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa730f2…
07-10 04:34:31	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9ecf65…
07-10 03:32:44	will cxmt ipo by august 31 2026 20260629164309099	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc5091f…
07-10 03:31:59	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x76dac3…
07-09 02:09:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2ba715…
07-09 02:09:01	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc7f9a…
07-09 02:00:29	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x118dba…
07-09 01:59:35	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0d2f23…
07-08 03:47:31	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0abc25…
07-08 03:46:44	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x44cdb7…
07-08 03:27:26	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe5fc6c…
07-08 03:26:20	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd38ae3…
07-07 03:07:59	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x37f4ef…
07-07 03:07:17	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3794f8…
07-07 02:53:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2838e0…
07-07 02:52:59	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf9bdc3…
07-06 06:08:28	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x67cfb5…
07-06 04:52:28	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x193ae4…
07-06 03:55:13	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x886b7f…
07-06 03:50:50	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x75f63c…
07-04 02:59:50	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x414ef9…
07-04 02:59:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x96724d…
07-04 02:44:23	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdb022a…
07-04 02:43:05	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6c2ae9…
07-03 08:04:31	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0b8d61…
07-03 08:04:05	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdfbcb1…
07-03 07:53:35	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10398b…
07-03 07:52:26	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0ba364…