Bland-Toughguy 0xe0c5e9…b9913c
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$771
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
332
Trades
2,502
lifetime
Volume
$35.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$856
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 10-29 15:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Crypto
60% 52% -$360
Other
24% 24% -$1,391
Politics
15% 23% -$319
Tech
0% 0% -$55
Pop-Culture
0% 0% —
Sports
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +800 $201 24¢ $188 -$13 10-11 16:51
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? Yes +2,000 $77 3¢ $66 -$11 10-10 07:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,050 $112 6¢ $58 -$55 10-10 08:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +1,000 $38 6¢ $55 +$17 10-10 06:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +75 $50 74¢ $55 +$5 10-10 09:02
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +60 $13 90¢ $54 +$40 10-10 08:52
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +1,000 $49 5¢ $46 -$2 10-10 06:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +500 $60 8¢ $42 -$18 10-10 06:03
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +780 $39 5¢ $39 +$0 10-29 15:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,000 $51 3¢ $31 -$20 10-10 05:58
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +1,000 $39 3¢ $30 -$9 10-10 06:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +46 $20 61¢ $28 +$8 10-10 08:55
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +6,947 $528 0¢ $28 -$500 10-24 05:54
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +100 $27 20¢ $20 -$6 10-10 06:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +200 $18 9¢ $18 +$0 10-10 06:08
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +100 $24 18¢ $18 -$6 10-10 06:10
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -20 -$13 61¢ $-12 +$0 05-09 09:06
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-10 08:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +140 $11 6¢ $9 -$2 10-10 04:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -20 -$7 39¢ $-8 $0 05-09 09:06
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +17 $10 42¢ $7 -$3 10-10 08:54
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +171 $7 4¢ $7 $0 10-10 08:39
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +50 $12 11¢ $5 -$7 10-10 06:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +8 $5 52¢ $4 -$1 10-11 08:26
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +571 $46 1¢ $4 -$42 10-10 09:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? Yes +16 $11 22¢ $4 -$7 10-11 04:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +1,000 $74 0¢ $3 -$71 10-10 04:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,234 $58 0¢ $2 -$56 10-11 16:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? Yes +1,000 $13 0¢ $2 -$12 10-10 05:33
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +15 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-25 00:06