(anonymous) 0xe142df…6d4dcb
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Realized P&L
-$46
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved
159
Trades
524
lifetime
Volume
$607
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$17
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 09-25 00:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Politics
62% 42% -$35
Other
24% 54% -$26
Crypto
8% 100% +$8
Sports
4% 30% -$15
Tech
1% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 +$0 05-22 20:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 05-23 12:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 57¢ $2 $0 09-20 00:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 07-03 09:31
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +9 $4 12¢ $1 -$3 05-26 05:31
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $0 09-07 00:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 07-11 18:49
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 5¢ $1 $0 09-07 00:40
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 20¢ $0 -$1 05-27 10:41
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:18
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-16 02:56
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-28 00:09
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +15 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 09-18 00:27