Realized P&L
-$49
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
161
Trades
524
lifetime
Volume
$607
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 09-25 00:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
62% 41% -$38
Other
24% 54% -$26
Crypto
8% 100% +$8
Sports
4% 30% -$15
Tech
1% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 05-22 20:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3 $2 99¢ $3 +$1 05-23 12:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 09-20 00:53
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 06-24 16:57
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 07-03 09:31
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 57¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 07-11 18:49
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-09 05:56
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +9 $4 6¢ $1 -$3 05-26 05:31
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:50
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:18
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 15¢ $0 -$1 05-27 10:41
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 09-07 00:40
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-15 00:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-16 02:56
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-28 00:09
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-27 05:12
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24