Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$142

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

467

Trades

5,819

lifetime

Volume

$36.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 07-07 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

47% 67% +$41

Politics

40% 63% -$124

Sports

11% 64% +$203

Crypto

1% 100% +$3

Tech

1% 50% +$18

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+15	$8	84¢	$13	+$4	06-24 23:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+9	$7	92¢	$8	+$1	06-27 00:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+15	$6	16¢	$2	-$4	07-04 02:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+9	$3	8¢	$1	-$2	07-04 02:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	9	$1.3K	996	345	+651	Yes	+$1	06-17 17:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	249	$1.0K	1,089	896	+193	No	-$56	06-20 21:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	120	$1.0K	1,197	1,197	+0	No	+$47	07-04 02:01
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	248	$890	980	848	+132	Yes	-$22	06-17 17:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	89	$826	39,357	39,357	+0	No	-$39	07-02 13:25
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	67	$815	544	284	+259	No	+$6	02-20 07:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	80	$755	665	665	+0	No	+$32	07-04 02:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	33	$743	4,607	4,607	+0	No	-$5	06-22 19:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$709	364	364	+0	No	-$1	07-03 05:13
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	170	$700	573	573	+0	Yes	+$12	06-19 19:20
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	156	$656	1,053	1,053	+0	No	-$19	07-04 02:06
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	62	$623	432	432	+0	Yes	+$27	07-04 02:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$534	535	0	+535	Yes	+$1	06-17 17:24
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	109	$516	805	805	+0	No	+$34	06-24 13:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	68	$514	329	329	+0	Yes	+$20	02-28 01:26
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	70	$497	305	305	+0	No	+$3	06-19 18:23
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	5	$474	237	237	+0	No	+$0	02-24 19:52
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	107	$449	451	427	+24	No	-$16	06-17 17:20
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	34	$422	538	441	+98	Yes	+$3	06-22 01:19
starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	27	$394	241	220	+21	Yes	+$52	06-21 11:54
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$351	354	0	+354	No	+$3	02-21 22:57
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	11	$348	354	0	+354	No	+$6	02-21 00:00
nba cle okc 2026 02 22	22	$346	281	184	+97	Thunder	-$20	02-22 20:37
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	92	$344	2,405	186	+2,219	Yes	$0	06-18 20:30
judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 10 by feb 20	14	$344	326	24	+302	No	+$6	02-21 00:23
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	154	$338	349	0	+349	No	+$10	02-22 17:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	6	$301	173	129	+43	Yes	+$0	06-17 18:37
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	23	$299	188	188	+0	No	+$8	07-04 02:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	7	$298	150	150	-0	No	$0	06-19 16:28
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	24	$277	203	203	+0	No	-$18	07-04 02:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 00:35:17	Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,094	0¢	$1	0xb3bab6…
07-04 02:06:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x0903bd…
07-04 02:05:34	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x4b36ec…
07-04 02:05:29	Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title	Yes	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0xa55278…
07-04 02:04:40	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	76	97¢	$74	0x615957…
07-04 02:01:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd0fe76…
07-04 02:01:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x20bd1b…
07-04 02:01:35	Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xc14a4d…
07-04 02:01:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	74	76¢	$56	0x1699b0…
07-04 02:01:05	Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 6?	No	SELL	36	91¢	$33	0xd635af…
07-04 02:01:05	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xb3f82c…
07-04 02:01:05	Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 2?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa31891…
07-04 02:01:05	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	SELL	76	61¢	$47	0x28cdd4…
07-04 02:01:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	49	93¢	$45	0xfff449…
07-04 02:01:04	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xedba46…
07-04 02:01:04	will neymar score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108554	No	SELL	14	89¢	$13	0xe8a1d9…
07-04 02:01:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	37	68¢	$25	0xd713fb…
07-04 02:01:04	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xd498a7…
07-04 02:01:04	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcfa40a…
07-04 02:01:04	us x china tariff agreement by july 31 20260626205549138	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xcbd051…
07-04 02:01:04	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xc8c284…
07-04 02:01:04	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0xa1e01c…
07-04 02:01:04	will trump speak to xi jinping in july 20260626154217426	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x8b0875…
07-04 02:01:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x5f1202…
07-04 02:01:04	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	112	11¢	$12	0x4f9c4b…
07-04 02:01:04	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x4cb700…
07-04 02:01:04	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	59	91¢	$53	0x4435f8…
07-04 02:01:04	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x43e08f…
07-04 02:01:04	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x316ba5…
07-04 02:01:04	will trump speak to xi jinping in june	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x3019f4…
07-04 02:01:04	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x1e30f2…
07-04 02:01:04	Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x1aca1f…
07-04 02:01:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0xb8e0a2…
07-04 02:00:38	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xf14c19…
07-04 02:00:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xe7bd69…
07-04 02:00:38	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xd88121…
07-04 02:00:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xc1e752…
07-04 02:00:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xbfd61b…
07-04 02:00:38	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	613	8¢	$50	0xade0c9…
07-04 02:00:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x72a15e…
07-04 02:00:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	SELL	265	6¢	$16	0x45475a…
07-04 02:00:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x394fa7…
07-04 02:00:38	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	26¢	$12	0x2a20da…
07-04 02:00:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	158	17¢	$27	0x1ce20b…
07-04 02:00:38	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	140	52¢	$73	0x1a89d4…
07-04 02:00:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xf9e48c…
07-04 02:00:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0xef14e9…
07-04 02:00:37	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xee445b…
07-04 02:00:37	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xde643c…
07-04 02:00:37	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	88	16¢	$14	0xaa3249…
07-04 02:00:37	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xa9cb27…
07-04 02:00:37	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	25	68¢	$17	0xa5e1e4…
07-04 02:00:37	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x77ddbe…
07-04 02:00:37	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x71cfb1…
07-04 02:00:37	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x39e30b…
07-04 02:00:37	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	194	9¢	$18	0x358d73…
07-04 02:00:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	163	23¢	$38	0xdf2703…
07-04 02:00:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	402	0¢	$1	0xd599f3…
07-04 02:00:35	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	524	2¢	$9	0xd0cd1b…
07-04 02:00:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	69	12¢	$8	0x74de41…
07-04 02:00:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x4f80ba…
07-04 02:00:35	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0x4a1219…
07-04 02:00:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x3cd1b3…
07-04 02:00:34	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xe51b8b…
07-04 02:00:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x956e55…
07-04 02:00:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0x87c965…
07-04 02:00:34	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0x693f3c…
07-04 02:00:34	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0x22f2c6…
07-04 02:00:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	82	80¢	$66	0x028bfc…
07-04 02:00:32	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0xbcc882…
07-04 02:00:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	137	76¢	$104	0xe80748…
07-04 02:00:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	37	83¢	$31	0xe576cf…
07-04 02:00:31	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x8dcaee…
07-04 02:00:31	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x73f71c…
07-04 02:00:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	39¢	$6	0x700f45…
07-04 02:00:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5c1020…
07-04 02:00:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	24¢	$6	0x2c4ccf…
07-04 02:00:31	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x2a970c…
07-04 02:00:31	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x223af3…
07-04 02:00:29	Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xfb48cf…
07-04 02:00:29	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xd7ea0b…
07-04 02:00:29	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xcb68a3…
07-04 02:00:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x6dba31…
07-04 02:00:29	gta vi released before november 2026	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x640ddc…
07-04 02:00:29	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x2e0e75…
07-04 02:00:29	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x263b60…
07-04 02:00:01	Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xf828eb…
07-04 02:00:01	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xb27dbc…
07-04 02:00:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$1	0xae6999…
07-04 02:00:01	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xae37f0…
07-04 02:00:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xa6abde…
07-04 02:00:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x705c7c…
07-04 02:00:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$170	0x57801c…
07-04 02:00:01	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x1dee8c…
07-04 01:59:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$244	0xf7212a…
07-04 01:59:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xecb2bc…
07-04 01:59:49	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x75704a…
07-04 01:59:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	268	17¢	$45	0x1fb06e…
07-04 01:59:46	Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xc413d7…
07-04 01:59:46	Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	1,848	2¢	$44	0x53fbb1…