Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$50
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,734
lifetime
Volume
$25.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$392
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 07-04 02:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50%
Other
42%
Sports
6%
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 528 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -356 $-64 40¢ $-144 $-80 07-04 02:00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -101 $-94 94¢ $-96 $-2 06-29 12:17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -57 $-45 78¢ $-44 +$1 07-04 02:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -36 $-32 86¢ $-31 +$0 07-04 01:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -21 $-35 96¢ $-20 +$15 07-04 02:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -20 $-17 60¢ $-12 +$5 07-04 01:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +12 $7 60¢ $7 +$1 06-24 23:00
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -7 $-7 84¢ $-6 +$1 07-04 01:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $6 40¢ $6 $-1 07-04 02:00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 07-04 02:00
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -5 $-5 89¢ $-4 +$1 07-04 02:01
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -5 $-5 86¢ $-4 +$1 07-04 01:58
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes -5 $-3 84¢ $-4 $-1 07-04 02:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -15 $-3 26¢ $-4 $-0 07-04 02:00
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes -10 $-0 26¢ $-3 $-2 07-04 01:59
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -1 $-3 98¢ $-1 +$2 06-30 16:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -5 $-11 $-0 +$10 06-26 16:11