Realized P&L
-$86
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
48.2%
Resolved
9
Trades
4,154
lifetime
Volume
$113.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$949
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-21 11:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
56% 83% $-82
Other
38% 100% +$6
Sports
3% 0% $-10
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -337 $-322 96¢ $-325 $-3 06-14 16:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +163 $161 99¢ $161 +$0 07-17 19:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -126 $-113 94¢ $-119 $-6 07-20 18:22
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +106 $92 90¢ $95 +$3 07-12 10:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +65 $61 98¢ $63 +$2 07-19 00:29
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -49 $-46 94¢ $-46 +$1 06-25 08:15
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +50 $44 90¢ $45 +$1 07-05 13:19
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-24 96¢ $-24 $-0 06-25 08:15
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +15 $12 92¢ $14 +$2 07-02 23:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -50 $-8 26¢ $-13 $-5 06-25 08:15
Jonathan Majors as Kang? No +14 $13 88¢ $13 $-0 06-28 02:16
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 06-25 08:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -11 $-11 96¢ $-11 $-0 06-25 08:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -5 $-4 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-06 08:55
EU dissolves before 2027? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 05-29 22:13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 07-19 02:23