Realized P&L
-$86
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
48.2%
Resolved
9
Trades
3,529
lifetime
Volume
$100.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$1.15K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-09 16:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
59% 83% $-82
Other
35% 100% +$6
Sports
3% 0% $-10
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -311 $-308 99¢ $-308 +$0 06-08 02:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +198 $194 99¢ $196 +$2 06-08 12:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -197 $-194 99¢ $-195 $-1 06-09 00:35
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? No +72 $70 99¢ $72 +$2 06-05 21:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -59 $-58 97¢ $-57 +$1 06-09 14:24
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +52 $49 94¢ $50 +$0 06-05 17:47
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No +50 $47 91¢ $46 $-1 06-01 06:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +45 $42 95¢ $43 +$0 06-08 21:48
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +38 $38 99¢ $38 +$0 06-06 06:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +39 $33 86¢ $34 +$1 06-02 17:11
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +31 $30 96¢ $30 +$0 06-08 02:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +32 $28 88¢ $28 +$0 06-01 03:09
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +17 $17 99¢ $17 +$0 05-30 13:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +15 $14 94¢ $14 +$1 05-29 10:40
Tucker Carlson federally charged? No +7 $6 97¢ $6 $-0 06-09 16:41
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +7 $6 88¢ $6 +$0 06-09 05:23
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -5 $-4 95¢ $-5 $-0 06-06 08:55
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 06-05 15:15
EU dissolves before 2027? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 05-29 22:13