Realized P&L
-$86
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
48.2%
Resolved
9
Trades
3,885
lifetime
Volume
$106.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$1.98K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-29 16:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
58% 83% $-82
Other
36% 100% +$6
Sports
3% 0% $-10
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -337 $-322 96¢ $-323 $-1 06-14 16:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -311 $-308 100¢ $-311 $-2 06-08 02:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -305 $-302 100¢ $-305 $-3 06-12 17:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -209 $-208 100¢ $-209 $-1 06-25 08:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -221 $-201 92¢ $-202 $-1 06-25 08:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +125 $117 100¢ $124 +$7 06-28 03:05
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +103 $102 100¢ $103 +$1 06-29 14:12
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +96 $92 99¢ $95 +$3 06-28 14:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -69 $-71 100¢ $-69 +$2 06-16 01:44
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +50 $49 98¢ $49 $-0 06-29 16:34
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -49 $-46 94¢ $-46 +$0 06-25 08:15
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -37 $-37 100¢ $-37 $-0 06-25 08:15
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -25 $-24 94¢ $-24 +$0 06-25 08:15
Tucker Carlson federally charged? No -16 $-16 100¢ $-16 $-0 06-25 08:15
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 06-25 08:15
Jonathan Majors as Kang? No +14 $13 84¢ $12 $-1 06-28 02:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -12 $-12 96¢ $-11 +$0 06-25 08:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -11 $-11 96¢ $-11 +$0 06-25 08:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -50 $-8 16¢ $-8 $-0 06-25 08:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -5 $-4 95¢ $-5 $-0 06-06 08:55
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 06-05 15:15
EU dissolves before 2027? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 05-29 22:13
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -2 $-1 87¢ $-2 $-1 06-26 04:45