Canine-Tie 0xea1d5a…ece993
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$160
Unrealized P&L
+$121
Hit rate
60.7%
Resolved (30d)
40
Trades (30d)
627
5,982 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$20.6K
$159.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$2.86K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-28 17:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Politics
50% 86% -$1,572
Other
43% 88% +$811
Sports
3% 81% -$81
Tech
3% 85% -$34
Crypto
1% 33% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,187 $1,113 100¢ $1.2K +$74 10-28 18:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +272 $238 80¢ $219 -$19 10-02 23:29
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +230 $196 94¢ $216 +$21 10-27 20:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +200 $185 92¢ $185 +$0 10-08 05:45
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +175 $171 99¢ $173 +$1 10-28 10:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -157 -$150 96¢ $-151 $0 10-24 04:30
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +114 $110 98¢ $112 +$2 10-28 13:06
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 $70 97¢ $97 +$28 10-01 16:49
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +90 $63 90¢ $81 +$18 10-06 15:18
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +82 $75 98¢ $80 +$5 10-27 03:38
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +78 $76 98¢ $77 +$1 10-28 17:15
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +70 $54 99¢ $69 +$15 10-28 14:14
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -55 -$51 98¢ $-54 -$3 06-25 08:15
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +52 $50 98¢ $51 +$1 10-18 05:42
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +34 $32 98¢ $33 +$0 10-28 13:33
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$24 97¢ $-24 -$1 06-25 08:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -12 -$12 98¢ $-12 $0 06-25 08:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-9 -$1 06-06 08:55
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -50 -$8 16¢ $-8 +$0 06-25 08:15
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +8 $5 94¢ $7 +$3 10-27 19:51
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +4 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 08-22 17:23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 07-31 04:13
EU dissolves before 2027? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 05-29 22:13
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +3 $0 95¢ $2 +$3 09-17 21:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +8 $8 29¢ $2 -$6 09-30 22:20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 07-19 02:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 10-19 20:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -0 $0 94¢ $-0 $0 10-25 07:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +9 $23 2¢ $0 -$22 10-01 07:19
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 96¢ $0 +$1 10-25 20:56