Canine-Tie 0xea1d5a…ece993
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
86.7%
Resolved (24h)
4
Trades (24h)
42
6,101 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.03K
$162.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$1.67K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-31 21:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 171 days
Categories
Politics
51% 87% -$1,570
Other
42% 88% +$891
Sports
3% 81% -$81
Tech
3% 82% -$47
Crypto
1% 33% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +350 $326 96¢ $334 +$8 10-29 15:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +272 $238 82¢ $225 -$14 10-02 23:29
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +217 $184 94¢ $205 +$21 10-30 22:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +189 $179 94¢ $178 -$1 10-30 12:01
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +175 $171 100¢ $174 +$3 10-28 10:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -157 -$150 97¢ $-152 -$2 10-24 04:30
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +90 $63 90¢ $81 +$19 10-06 15:18
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +77 $68 100¢ $77 +$9 10-31 21:04
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -55 -$51 98¢ $-54 -$3 10-29 06:13
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +52 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 10-18 05:42
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +48 $45 96¢ $46 +$1 10-31 20:41
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$24 96¢ $-24 $0 06-25 08:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -12 -$12 98¢ $-12 $0 06-25 08:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -10 -$9 99¢ $-9 -$1 06-06 08:55
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +9 $4 99¢ $9 +$5 10-31 15:59
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +8 $5 96¢ $8 +$3 10-27 19:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -50 -$8 15¢ $-7 +$1 06-25 08:15
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-29 17:45
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +4 $2 86¢ $3 +$1 08-22 17:23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 07-31 04:13
EU dissolves before 2027? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 05-29 22:13
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +3 $0 96¢ $3 +$3 09-17 21:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +8 $8 22¢ $2 -$7 09-30 22:20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 07-19 02:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-19 20:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -0 $0 94¢ $-0 $0 10-25 07:18
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 96¢ $0 +$1 10-25 20:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 -$3 94¢ $0 +$3 10-26 11:14