Canine-Tie 0xea1d5a…ece993
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$817
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
83.9%
Resolved
472
Trades
6,021
lifetime
Volume
$160.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$2.31K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-29 15:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Politics
51% 86% -$1,572
Other
43% 88% +$881
Sports
3% 81% -$81
Tech
3% 85% -$34
Crypto
1% 33% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +542 $530 98¢ $534 +$4 10-29 12:09
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +350 $326 94¢ $327 +$1 10-29 15:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +272 $238 82¢ $225 -$14 10-02 23:29
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +230 $196 95¢ $217 +$21 10-27 20:32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +181 $149 98¢ $178 +$29 10-29 05:01
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +175 $171 99¢ $174 +$3 10-28 10:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -157 -$150 96¢ $-151 $0 10-24 04:30
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +85 $83 99¢ $84 +$1 10-29 02:11
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +82 $75 99¢ $81 +$6 10-27 03:38
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +90 $63 90¢ $81 +$18 10-06 15:18
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +78 $76 100¢ $77 +$1 10-28 17:15
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -55 -$51 96¢ $-53 -$2 10-29 06:13
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +52 $50 98¢ $51 +$0 10-18 05:42
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -25 -$24 97¢ $-24 -$1 06-25 08:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -12 -$12 98¢ $-12 $0 06-25 08:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-9 -$1 06-06 08:55
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +8 $5 94¢ $7 +$3 10-27 19:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -50 -$8 14¢ $-7 +$1 06-25 08:15
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +4 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 08-22 17:23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 07-31 04:13
EU dissolves before 2027? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 05-29 22:13
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +3 $0 95¢ $2 +$3 09-17 21:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +8 $8 25¢ $2 -$6 09-30 22:20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 07-19 02:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-19 20:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -0 $0 94¢ $-0 $0 10-25 07:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +9 $23 1¢ $0 -$22 10-01 07:19
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 96¢ $0 +$1 10-25 20:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 -$3 96¢ $0 +$3 10-26 11:14