(anonymous) 0xee8aef…bdf0b0
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.26K
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
44.2%
Resolved (90d)
91
Trades (90d)
294
679 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$9.64K
$23.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$417
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 10-29 06:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Politics
44% 10% -$2,200
Other
34% 38% -$312
Sports
21% 31% -$735
Tech
0% 33% -$8
Crypto
0% 50% +$183
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,500 $135 9¢ $135 +$0 10-25 15:06
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +1,301 $103 6¢ $85 -$19 09-23 05:49
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +156 -$1 22¢ $35 +$36 09-05 07:47
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? Yes +346 $24 8¢ $26 +$2 10-05 10:45
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $21 23¢ $23 +$2 10-05 10:47
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5,250 $45 0¢ $21 -$24 10-07 14:45
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -259 -$39 7¢ $-18 +$21 06-16 08:52
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,040 $23 1¢ $13 -$10 10-05 12:15
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +121 $18 10¢ $13 -$5 07-14 09:16
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -102 -$15 9¢ $-9 +$6 06-16 08:52
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +200 $7 3¢ $7 -$1 08-13 08:51
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +369 $7 2¢ $6 -$1 07-14 17:12
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,316 $9 0¢ $6 -$3 10-07 05:01
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +100 $6 6¢ $6 $0 09-03 09:27
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +531 $2 1¢ $5 +$3 08-03 19:33
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,950 $6 0¢ $4 -$1 10-07 05:02
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,338 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 08-13 07:42
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +1,000 $4 0¢ $2 -$2 08-03 19:34
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes -30 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 06-16 08:52
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +289 $4 0¢ $0 -$3 08-22 07:11