Realized P&L
-$3.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
41.5%
Resolved
142
Trades
679
lifetime
Volume
$23.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$380
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 10-29 06:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Politics
44% 10% -$2,200
Other
34% 38% -$261
Sports
21% 31% -$735
Tech
0% 33% -$8
Crypto
0% 50% +$183
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,500 $135 8¢ $127 -$8 10-25 15:06
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +1,301 $103 6¢ $72 -$32 09-23 05:49
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +156 -$1 20¢ $32 +$33 09-05 07:47
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? Yes +346 $24 7¢ $25 +$1 10-05 10:45
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $21 20¢ $20 -$1 10-05 10:47
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5,250 $45 0¢ $18 -$26 10-07 14:45
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +121 $18 12¢ $15 -$4 07-14 09:16
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -259 -$39 6¢ $-14 +$25 06-16 08:52
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,040 $23 1¢ $11 -$11 10-05 12:15
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -102 -$15 8¢ $-8 +$7 06-16 08:52
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +200 $7 4¢ $7 $0 08-13 08:51
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +369 $7 2¢ $6 -$1 07-14 17:12
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,316 $9 0¢ $6 -$3 10-07 05:01
Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +531 $2 1¢ $6 +$4 08-03 19:33
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +100 $6 4¢ $4 -$2 09-03 09:27
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,950 $6 0¢ $4 -$1 10-07 05:02
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,338 $3 0¢ $1 -$1 08-13 07:42
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +1,000 $4 0¢ $1 -$3 08-03 19:34
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes -30 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 06-16 08:52