(anonymous) 0xee8aef…bdf0b0 Create alert
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Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$82
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
679 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$23.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$436
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 10-29 06:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
44% 9% -$2,216
Other
34% 37% -$277
Sports
21% 31% -$735
Tech
0% 33% -$8
Crypto
0% 50% +$183
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,500 $135 11¢ $165 +$30 10-25 15:06
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +1,301 $103 6¢ $72 -$32 09-23 05:49
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +156 -$1 15¢ $23 +$23 09-05 07:47
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5,250 $45 0¢ $18 -$26 10-07 14:45
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $36 6¢ $18 -$18 10-05 10:48
will ukraine re enter terny by december 31 2026 Yes +100 $37 16¢ $16 -$21 10-05 10:51
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $21 15¢ $15 -$6 10-05 10:47
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +121 $18 12¢ $14 -$4 07-14 09:16
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? Yes +346 $24 3¢ $11 -$13 10-05 10:45
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +1,000 $4 1¢ $11 +$7 08-03 19:34
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,040 $23 1¢ $11 -$12 10-05 12:15
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +27 $18 40¢ $10 -$8 07-22 07:34
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -259 -$39 2¢ $-6 +$33 06-16 08:52
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,316 $9 0¢ $6 -$3 10-07 05:01
Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +615 $3 1¢ $5 +$2 08-13 08:49
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -102 -$15 4¢ $-5 +$11 06-16 08:52
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,950 $6 0¢ $4 -$1 10-07 05:02
Will Russia enter Stavky by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $9 6¢ $4 -$5 10-05 10:50
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +200 $7 2¢ $4 -$4 08-13 08:51
Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +365 $12 1¢ $3 -$8 08-10 09:27
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +369 $7 1¢ $3 -$4 07-14 17:12
will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026 Yes +75 $10 4¢ $3 -$7 08-13 08:49
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +100 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 09-03 09:27
Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +222 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 08-21 07:22
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1,128 $3 0¢ $2 -$2 08-21 07:22
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +129 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 08-21 07:22
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +596 $4 0¢ $1 -$2 08-05 08:05
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes -30 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 06-16 08:52
will canada become a european union association member by december 31 2026 Yes +8 $0 4¢ $0 $0 09-18 04:28
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? Yes +120 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 08-18 15:53