Imaginative-Thousand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

10.5%

Resolved

Trades

236

lifetime

Volume

$35.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

$1.06K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-09 01:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

51% — —

Other

31% — —

Pop-Culture

12% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% 25% $-134

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	-700	$-630	91¢	$-637	$-8	06-06 18:52
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	+605	$351	62¢	$378	+$27	06-06 20:24
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	No	+69	$44	67¢	$46	+$2	06-06 19:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	25	$6.7K	4,804	4,804	+0	open	—	04-08 00:44
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	22	$4.2K	4,829	570	+4,259	open	—	04-21 19:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	18	$2.7K	2,828	0	+2,828	open	—	02-28 22:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	17	$2.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-07 01:58
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.4K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	03-04 09:47
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	4	$1.9K	2,106	1,580	+527	open	—	06-05 21:44
iran strike on us military by february 28	1	$1.6K	1,700	0	+1,700	open	—	03-01 04:43
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	6	$1.4K	754	754	+0	open	—	02-28 19:00
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	5	$672	700	0	+700	open	—	02-27 08:48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	1	$630	0	700	-700	open	—	06-06 18:52
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	1	$602	700	0	+700	open	—	05-02 01:39
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$548	930	930	+0	open	—	03-22 19:20
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	1	$506	550	0	+550	open	—	06-09 21:30
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	11	$503	491	491	+0	open	—	06-09 01:17
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$464	800	0	+800	open	—	03-08 15:25
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	3	$450	653	0	+653	open	—	05-23 22:25
tko quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 0pt19	9	$436	575	278	+298	open	—	02-25 17:09
bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	16	$416	846	0	+846	open	—	03-18 23:40
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$400	410	0	+410	open	—	05-15 02:13
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	8	$381	800	0	+800	open	—	03-07 02:12
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	4	$380	200	200	+0	open	—	02-28 19:00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	2	$351	605	0	+605	open	—	06-06 20:24
crm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 3pt05	1	$300	351	0	+351	open	—	02-24 16:24
Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$300	312	0	+312	open	—	05-15 02:10
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$300	311	0	+311	open	—	05-15 02:11
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$300	309	0	+309	open	—	05-15 02:10
mdb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 02 2026 1pt47	4	$275	288	0	+288	open	—	03-02 18:11
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$207	440	440	+0	open	—	03-09 12:31
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	1	$200	452	0	+452	open	—	04-11 01:21
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$200	279	0	+279	open	—	03-16 00:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:33:30	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt6b	Yes	BUY	210	67¢	$141	0xde286f…
06-09 21:30:39	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	Yes	BUY	550	92¢	$506	0x7e7c5c…
06-09 01:17:54	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	82	30¢	$24	0x09a393…
06-09 00:54:52	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	82	25¢	$20	0xe23b20…
06-09 00:41:28	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	102	57¢	$58	0x952630…
06-09 00:24:07	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0xca40fe…
06-09 00:23:34	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0x8e7c68…
06-08 23:50:48	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	208	46¢	$95	0xeab5ff…
06-08 23:21:12	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	183	64¢	$117	0xd8df16…
06-08 23:10:42	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x3be22a…
06-08 19:40:09	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x9aa515…
06-08 19:37:07	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	34	65¢	$22	0x82a251…
06-08 19:36:13	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	66	67¢	$44	0x454d39…
06-08 18:58:51	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xd3d6fe…
06-06 20:24:31	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x625bc0…
06-06 19:24:24	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	600	58¢	$348	0x48d383…
06-06 19:16:33	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	69	64¢	$44	0xe569f8…
06-06 18:52:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	700	90¢	$630	0x93dd32…
06-05 21:44:19	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	SELL	1,580	90¢	$1,422	0xbbbdc0…
06-05 07:06:01	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	903	39¢	$350	0xa879a1…
06-05 06:54:43	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	1,164	9¢	$100	0x374e24…
06-05 06:53:31	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x704c4a…
06-05 06:38:03	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xa35adb…
06-05 06:37:18	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	BUY	119	58¢	$69	0x6e73b7…
05-23 22:25:57	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0x3c4adf…
05-23 22:17:49	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	354	71¢	$250	0xc3cc2d…
05-23 22:16:00	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Manziel	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x05ea30…
05-15 02:14:14	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xc22d9d…
05-15 02:13:16	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	410	98¢	$400	0x9adabc…
05-15 02:12:17	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x1c00ba…
05-15 02:12:04	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xe48588…
05-15 02:11:56	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x86c4d5…
05-15 02:11:08	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	311	97¢	$300	0xddaa9b…
05-15 02:10:58	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0xd86ff9…
05-15 02:10:53	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xea7e1f…
05-10 04:22:29	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xb668ab…
05-09 16:20:33	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xe8c002…
05-09 16:19:02	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xdfc8bc…
05-09 16:18:30	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x6cef66…
05-08 23:54:10	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x6a7482…
05-07 23:20:00	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x6ee34b…
05-04 00:00:02	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	289	38¢	$110	0x9c0962…
05-02 01:39:54	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	700	86¢	$602	0x8dcaa3…
04-22 17:31:06	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe464c6…
04-21 19:28:32	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0x31a1b4…
04-21 19:26:50	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,146	96¢	$1,100	0x9eb4b0…
04-21 19:26:10	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0x3c87bb…
04-21 19:25:12	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0x280081…
04-21 19:24:58	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6fa19b…
04-21 19:24:34	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x2fc1c5…
04-21 19:24:30	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0xe8a2d5…
04-21 19:24:22	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc8b361…
04-17 22:09:24	mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt26	No	BUY	350	15¢	$52	0x2d801f…
04-17 21:45:12	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	570	74¢	$421	0x841cde…
04-16 15:45:02	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xc6ffc9…
04-16 08:18:06	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xb87890…
04-16 05:52:40	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	41¢	$23	0xd6d595…
04-16 03:55:08	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	285	41¢	$117	0xabbccd…
04-14 08:37:55	Will Amazon reach $244 in April?	No	BUY	82	30¢	$25	0x1f096a…
04-14 01:05:59	Will Amazon reach $244 in April?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0c31e2…
04-13 20:09:45	Will Amazon reach $244 in April?	No	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x751016…
04-13 08:03:11	Will Amazon reach $244 in April?	No	BUY	82	30¢	$25	0x3ea38a…
04-12 14:01:05	Will Amazon reach $244 in April?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x461881…
04-11 02:35:59	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	96	82¢	$79	0x6c4395…
04-11 01:28:59	Will Amazon reach $244 in April?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb7b5a4…
04-11 01:25:19	will vitality win the esl grand slam at iem rio	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x8ccb00…
04-11 01:23:45	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x1e838d…
04-11 01:21:57	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	452	44¢	$200	0x0f39fb…
04-11 01:13:03	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x3c9678…
04-11 01:10:11	Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	No	BUY	302	33¢	$100	0x3a3384…
04-08 19:46:45	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	160	81¢	$130	0x4a22e5…
04-08 00:44:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	2,179	99¢	$2,160	0xdeab9f…
04-07 23:08:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	400	81¢	$324	0x4c9bdc…
04-07 23:05:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x67e65e…
04-07 22:46:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x590df3…
04-07 22:43:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0x6e4dfd…
04-07 22:43:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x1c7c03…
04-07 22:43:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xbdcd54…
04-07 22:43:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	938	64¢	$600	0xaf0f8f…
04-07 22:41:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	911	49¢	$444	0x53ff43…
04-07 22:40:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	911	50¢	$455	0x2ff09f…
04-07 22:39:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0x7b6be6…
04-07 22:39:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	168	59¢	$100	0xc74400…
04-07 22:38:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x053f57…
04-07 22:37:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xeac718…
04-07 22:37:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0xb1c6d4…
04-07 22:37:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0xa763f7…
04-07 22:36:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x5ae864…
04-07 22:36:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x4f80e6…
04-07 22:35:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	201	74¢	$150	0xf43e74…
04-07 22:35:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	402	64¢	$255	0x7a72cb…
04-07 22:35:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0xd57957…
04-07 22:33:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x43250c…
04-07 22:33:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0xf8b6a8…
04-07 22:32:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1a8bb5…
04-07 22:31:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	583	34¢	$200	0xeac061…
04-06 03:05:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	400	46¢	$184	0x49554b…
04-06 03:04:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	148	73¢	$108	0xdb23bd…
04-02 01:09:03	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0x6decd7…
03-31 16:04:13	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,050	57¢	$600	0xeec07d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	52	$8.51M	9,586	06-09 21:30
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	44	$142.7K	8,672	06-09 22:47
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	39	$333.4K	5,336	06-09 16:52
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	38	$119.0K	9,616	05-31 20:46
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	38	$3.73K	871	06-09 01:29
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	35	$13.6K	406	06-09 22:59
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	30	$47.0K	4,874	03-28 20:15
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	30	$9.40K	1,022	06-08 23:50