Realized P&L
+$4.32K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.29K
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
245
Trades
843
lifetime
Volume
$108.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$129
Open exposure
$8.80K
23 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 10-24 20:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Politics
44% 58% +$282
Other
39% 49% +$2,528
Sports
7% 39% +$530
Tech
5% 57% +$132
Pop-Culture
4% 100% +$916
Crypto
1% 43% -$63
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,500 $2,340 76¢ $3.4K +$1,058 09-08 01:53
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,506 $1,000 76¢ $1.1K +$137 07-02 02:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +902 $600 88¢ $799 +$199 07-12 18:14
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +605 $351 91¢ $551 +$200 06-06 20:24
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +600 $324 66¢ $393 +$69 08-21 02:29
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +361 $300 92¢ $332 +$32 08-14 15:29
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +300 $186 97¢ $292 +$106 07-02 03:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +300 $225 84¢ $250 +$26 08-16 00:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +300 $228 82¢ $248 +$20 07-16 01:15
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +829 $391 29¢ $241 -$149 09-18 15:57
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,626 $200 12¢ $196 -$4 07-01 15:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -200 -$190 97¢ $-194 -$4 08-14 15:56
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +1,351 $500 14¢ $182 -$318 07-08 13:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +516 $194 24¢ $125 -$69 08-21 02:06
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No +100 $89 100¢ $100 +$10 08-14 15:48
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $53 15¢ $76 +$24 07-02 03:10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,204 $51 5¢ $60 +$10 07-02 03:10
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $54 5¢ $52 -$2 07-02 03:08
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +160 $93 28¢ $44 -$49 09-15 15:24
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +62 $32 70¢ $43 +$11 08-21 02:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +250 $51 16¢ $39 -$12 07-02 03:11
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,100 $26 4¢ $39 +$13 07-02 03:12
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $25 1¢ $6 -$20 07-02 03:12