Imaginative-Thousand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.5%

Resolved

Trades

574

lifetime

Volume

$71.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 08-11 18:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

46% — —

Other

34% — —

Sports

10% 25% $-134

Pop-Culture

6% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	25	$6.7K	4,804	4,804	+0	open	—	04-08 00:44
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	45	$6.2K	5,229	5,229	+0	open	—	07-07 18:09
Fed rate hike in 2026?	23	$4.9K	3,992	3,992	+0	open	—	08-12 14:41
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	22	$4.2K	4,829	570	+4,259	open	—	04-21 19:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$3.2K	2,814	2,814	+0	open	—	06-19 20:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	18	$2.7K	2,828	0	+2,828	open	—	02-28 22:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	17	$2.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-07 01:58
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.4K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	03-04 09:47
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	4	$1.9K	2,106	1,580	+527	open	—	06-05 21:44
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	10	$1.8K	1,179	1,179	+0	open	—	08-01 19:14
iran strike on us military by february 28	1	$1.6K	1,700	0	+1,700	open	—	03-01 04:43
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	6	$1.4K	754	754	+0	open	—	02-28 19:00
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	15	$1.1K	1,038	753	+285	open	—	07-01 19:54
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	3	$1.0K	940	940	+0	open	—	06-22 23:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	1	$1000	1,506	0	+1,506	open	—	07-02 02:23
will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	13	$992	1,643	1,643	+0	open	—	07-02 14:26
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	5	$824	589	589	+0	open	—	08-01 19:28
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	14	$767	407	1,007	-600	open	—	08-02 18:38
will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	2	$724	465	465	+0	open	—	08-07 16:57
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	11	$716	1,413	413	+1,000	open	—	07-02 21:27
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	5	$672	700	0	+700	open	—	02-27 08:48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	1	$630	0	700	-700	open	—	06-06 18:52
will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	5	$624	547	215	+332	open	—	08-09 04:39
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	4	$611	418	418	+0	open	—	06-25 21:29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	1	$605	0	818	-818	open	—	06-12 03:05
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	1	$602	700	0	+700	open	—	05-02 01:39
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	2	$600	902	0	+902	open	—	07-12 18:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	16	$598	2,757	2,757	+0	open	—	07-03 22:49
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$548	930	930	+0	open	—	03-22 19:20
another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	3	$548	695	200	+495	open	—	08-06 23:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 14:48:12	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	568	6¢	$34	0x291a51…
08-12 14:41:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	54¢	$270	0x41ffcd…
08-11 18:18:42	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x3a7e10…
08-11 18:10:40	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xd84e0b…
08-11 17:55:36	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xf03951…
08-11 16:15:51	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2fda5f…
08-11 06:05:39	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd5aa39…
08-11 04:38:03	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x990952…
08-11 04:38:01	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x4714db…
08-11 04:33:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xd8c0e2…
08-10 14:40:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	1,154	2¢	$18	0x1b4d15…
08-10 14:40:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	850	4¢	$33	0x25cb20…
08-09 04:39:13	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	SELL	85	82¢	$70	0x05e1d1…
08-09 04:38:55	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0x566e66…
08-09 04:37:58	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	SELL	116	83¢	$96	0x24442b…
08-09 04:19:19	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x39bb38…
08-09 04:17:16	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	Yes	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0xffc78e…
08-09 00:56:09	ufc mat10 qui2 2026 08 08	Mateusz Gamrot	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x82fbb6…
08-08 22:10:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xc64eb4…
08-08 22:09:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0xb71ad5…
08-08 22:08:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	SELL	154	12¢	$18	0xfcff49…
08-08 22:08:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	SELL	188	7¢	$13	0x1b331a…
08-08 22:07:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	223	5¢	$11	0xbcc622…
08-08 22:01:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x93ebea…
08-08 22:00:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0x58c47b…
08-08 21:59:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	223	7¢	$15	0x26bf89…
08-08 21:19:40	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long 20260807064756493	Yes	BUY	34	81¢	$28	0xd8f89b…
08-08 20:26:19	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long 20260807064756493	Yes	BUY	110	82¢	$90	0xd5707e…
08-08 20:23:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 8 2026 20260724221849639	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xf3041b…
08-08 19:30:40	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x657667…
08-08 17:14:57	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long 20260807064756493	Yes	BUY	47	82¢	$39	0x573560…
08-08 16:40:19	iran successfully targets shipping on august 8 2026 20260729163314528	Yes	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x509c45…
08-08 15:10:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	405	42¢	$170	0x3eb31c…
08-07 19:43:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xa6c490…
08-07 19:42:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x4d2f65…
08-07 16:57:07	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	SELL	465	91¢	$424	0xf03cf3…
08-07 06:30:22	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	300	40¢	$119	0xbee6be…
08-07 05:59:31	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	465	64¢	$300	0xa29647…
08-06 23:33:53	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	495	61¢	$300	0xa63e52…
08-06 22:17:18	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0xe40924…
08-05 04:22:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	63¢	$315	0x1c7d67…
08-05 04:14:53	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0xd2cb9c…
08-05 04:14:50	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	160	70¢	$112	0xfa07dd…
08-05 04:14:50	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0x935294…
08-05 02:08:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,001	62¢	$620	0xa8d852…
08-04 17:23:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	104	77¢	$80	0x27ccc4…
08-04 01:10:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	290	43¢	$125	0xd498b0…
08-03 18:32:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x4ff43c…
08-03 18:32:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xb03585…
08-03 07:03:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	263	12¢	$32	0x1db5f5…
08-03 06:43:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xf314ba…
08-03 06:42:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	52	12¢	$6	0xb145bf…
08-03 06:38:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x18544d…
08-03 06:36:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x040cbb…
08-03 06:36:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xefaccd…
08-03 06:36:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xcbadd5…
08-03 06:35:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	510	12¢	$61	0xfe1642…
08-02 20:46:27	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x2afd7d…
08-02 18:38:12	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0xfff1fe…
08-02 18:10:53	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	400	64¢	$256	0xd9f5d5…
08-02 06:38:57	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x724477…
08-02 06:38:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	230	57¢	$132	0xf2aa95…
08-02 06:31:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x40c2d4…
08-02 06:30:48	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	155	64¢	$100	0xa69beb…
08-02 06:25:54	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	172	41¢	$70	0x9218c9…
08-02 05:45:56	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd47730…
08-02 05:45:42	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	36	43¢	$15	0xab5e7d…
08-02 04:17:39	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x295c43…
08-02 03:19:32	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	36	34¢	$12	0xff510a…
08-02 03:19:21	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xaf0c23…
08-02 03:19:21	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x61d65b…
08-02 03:16:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xaa5f3e…
08-01 19:28:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	589	100¢	$589	0xabf16c…
08-01 19:27:50	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	255	100¢	$255	0xba2163…
08-01 19:14:03	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	801	100¢	$800	0xe8bea8…
08-01 18:17:35	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	267	66¢	$176	0x496859…
08-01 18:13:32	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	112	64¢	$71	0x575a72…
08-01 17:27:51	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x207cd0…
08-01 17:21:57	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x418f8c…
08-01 17:02:38	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x841eb3…
08-01 16:58:30	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0x7eacfa…
08-01 16:51:47	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	311	64¢	$200	0xcd4517…
08-01 16:42:56	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0x21b30d…
08-01 16:42:42	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xfa1901…
08-01 16:27:00	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	255	78¢	$200	0xf71c76…
08-01 16:26:54	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	423	71¢	$300	0x2b1b39…
08-01 03:31:09	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	No	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0x16148a…
08-01 03:00:48	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	No	BUY	500	63¢	$315	0x81ccc7…
07-31 16:29:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0x0b9ea0…
07-31 16:28:54	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x6ad4dd…
07-31 16:28:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x54eaa0…
07-31 16:28:09	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x20b65b…
07-31 05:54:17	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x09cf3e…
07-30 14:41:50	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x6f84a5…
07-30 14:41:36	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x4844fd…
07-29 17:59:12	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x2d4b40…
07-29 17:58:51	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x007b06…
07-28 15:05:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	791	77¢	$609	0xc411a6…
07-24 01:42:52	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	32	60¢	$19	0x3d1ce8…
07-24 01:27:36	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xac2221…