Imaginative-Thousand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

+$376

Hit rate

10.5%

Resolved

Trades

473

lifetime

Volume

$61.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

$3.58K

9 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 07-21 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

47% — —

Other

29% — —

Sports

11% 25% $-134

Pop-Culture

7% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	+1,792	$1,004	66¢	$1.2K	+$188	07-15 12:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+1,506	$1,000	66¢	$986	$-14	07-02 02:23
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	+605	$351	78¢	$469	+$118	06-06 20:24
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	+409	$199	58¢	$238	+$39	07-18 13:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+300	$228	70¢	$212	$-16	07-16 01:15
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+300	$186	64¢	$190	+$4	07-02 03:08
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	No	+236	$123	70¢	$166	+$43	07-21 08:01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+455	$100	24¢	$107	+$7	07-11 16:30
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	No	+55	$10	31¢	$17	+$7	07-10 15:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	25	$6.7K	4,804	4,804	+0	open	—	04-08 00:44
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	45	$6.2K	5,229	5,229	+0	open	—	07-07 18:09
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	22	$4.2K	4,829	570	+4,259	open	—	04-21 19:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$3.2K	2,814	2,814	+0	open	—	06-19 20:08
Fed rate hike in 2026?	19	$3.0K	3,492	1,700	+1,792	open	—	07-15 12:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	18	$2.7K	2,828	0	+2,828	open	—	02-28 22:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	17	$2.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-07 01:58
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.4K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	03-04 09:47
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	4	$1.9K	2,106	1,580	+527	open	—	06-05 21:44
iran strike on us military by february 28	1	$1.6K	1,700	0	+1,700	open	—	03-01 04:43
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	6	$1.4K	754	754	+0	open	—	02-28 19:00
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	15	$1.1K	1,038	753	+285	open	—	07-01 19:54
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	3	$1.0K	940	940	+0	open	—	06-22 23:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	1	$1000	1,506	0	+1,506	open	—	07-02 02:23
will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	13	$992	1,643	1,643	+0	open	—	07-02 14:26
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	11	$716	1,413	413	+1,000	open	—	07-02 21:27
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	5	$672	700	0	+700	open	—	02-27 08:48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	1	$630	0	700	-700	open	—	06-06 18:52
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	4	$611	418	418	+0	open	—	06-25 21:29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	1	$605	0	818	-818	open	—	06-12 03:05
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	1	$602	700	0	+700	open	—	05-02 01:39
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	2	$600	902	0	+902	open	—	07-12 18:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	16	$598	2,757	2,757	+0	open	—	07-03 22:49
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$548	930	930	+0	open	—	03-22 19:20
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	1	$506	550	0	+550	open	—	06-09 21:30
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	11	$503	491	491	+0	open	—	06-09 01:17
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	1	$500	1,351	0	+1,351	open	—	07-08 13:38
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$464	800	0	+800	open	—	03-08 15:25
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	3	$450	653	0	+653	open	—	05-23 22:25
tko quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 0pt19	9	$436	575	278	+298	open	—	02-25 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 08:01:24	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	89	41¢	$37	0x9896a9…
07-21 07:48:18	Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x596a63…
07-18 17:08:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	150	40¢	$60	0xc59526…
07-18 13:49:33	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xa762bc…
07-18 13:49:06	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0xf472bb…
07-18 13:44:49	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0x849da7…
07-16 01:16:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0xdc26de…
07-16 01:15:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x1eae0c…
07-15 12:37:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x3edde9…
07-14 14:06:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x88939c…
07-14 14:05:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xf470c9…
07-14 14:03:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x94c0eb…
07-14 13:53:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xbb78d9…
07-14 12:38:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0x54333e…
07-14 12:38:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xa63d54…
07-14 12:34:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x03e508…
07-13 16:47:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	69¢	$88	0x86ac32…
07-13 16:37:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xdca020…
07-13 08:47:29	dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 20 2026 4pt22	No	BUY	75	55¢	$41	0x521069…
07-13 00:26:56	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0x5fff6e…
07-13 00:04:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	378	58¢	$219	0x73fac6…
07-13 00:03:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	59¢	$76	0x5c327e…
07-12 23:50:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	60¢	$602	0x72c889…
07-12 23:49:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	62¢	$120	0x64afc9…
07-12 18:14:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0xd4c4d5…
07-12 18:12:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	166	15¢	$25	0xdde659…
07-12 01:29:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	737	68¢	$500	0x1257a6…
07-11 16:30:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xcf12a8…
07-11 16:20:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x0d6d85…
07-11 16:15:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	138	18¢	$25	0x6fc90c…
07-11 03:08:47	dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 20 2026 4pt22	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1ed1bf…
07-10 15:56:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xd310ee…
07-10 15:33:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	138	14¢	$20	0x99191f…
07-10 15:32:56	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	No	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x869231…
07-10 07:03:31	dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 20 2026 4pt22	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x64a930…
07-09 15:46:52	cfg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 16 2026 1pt24	No	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x099462…
07-09 15:46:34	mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 17 2026 2pt24	No	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x7de774…
07-09 15:46:25	wtfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 20 2026 3pt16	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xadae98…
07-09 15:46:16	bac quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 1pt11	No	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0xb21cfb…
07-09 15:46:04	wfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 1pt71	No	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0xa92a1a…
07-09 15:45:56	c quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 2pt68	No	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x2c2b77…
07-09 15:45:47	blk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 14 2026 12pt55	No	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0xcb5c01…
07-09 15:45:35	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 1pt44	No	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x6d4da5…
07-09 15:45:14	ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 2pt81	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x0d5af4…
07-09 15:45:02	ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 2pt81	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x333409…
07-09 15:44:53	ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 2pt81	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xeb92b0…
07-09 15:44:47	jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 14 2026 5pt68	No	BUY	113	9¢	$10	0xc114de…
07-09 15:44:16	ual quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 15 2026 1pt77	No	BUY	163	12¢	$20	0x540471…
07-09 15:40:14	wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 09 2026 1pt57	No	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x11c913…
07-09 15:34:22	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 0pt79	No	BUY	343	20¢	$70	0x3d0c90…
07-09 15:21:02	dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 20 2026 4pt22	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x450bb8…
07-09 00:06:25	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	419	60¢	$250	0x1053f8…
07-09 00:06:20	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	568	44¢	$250	0xc1a210…
07-08 20:31:31	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	118	21¢	$25	0xfd568f…
07-08 13:38:41	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,351	37¢	$500	0x2f6b62…
07-07 18:09:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$963	0x6b2774…
07-07 14:36:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	199	82¢	$164	0xdaedd3…
07-07 14:32:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	400	82¢	$328	0x2e1a73…
07-07 00:50:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	127	63¢	$80	0xc01e3e…
07-07 00:50:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x8a78d0…
07-07 00:50:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x4c1b55…
07-07 00:45:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x32ad32…
07-07 00:44:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x61903c…
07-07 00:44:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x522940…
07-07 00:44:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xd31a4e…
07-07 00:44:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x2b826d…
07-07 00:41:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	365	43¢	$157	0x57fb6c…
07-07 00:36:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	365	55¢	$200	0x946749…
07-07 00:18:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	196	65¢	$127	0xb7b90d…
07-07 00:18:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x9afd2f…
07-07 00:18:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	296	65¢	$193	0x4e374b…
07-06 22:53:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	116	87¢	$101	0x1841ac…
07-06 22:53:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x7f77f9…
07-06 22:53:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	172	87¢	$150	0x12d864…
07-06 22:50:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	400	87¢	$348	0xb8f3d3…
07-06 21:39:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x9525a7…
07-06 21:39:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6a8a5a…
07-06 21:33:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x13ad87…
07-06 21:31:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x2507b2…
07-06 21:31:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0x0d34ea…
07-06 21:28:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x96768a…
07-06 21:28:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x8c1f56…
07-06 21:28:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x200014…
07-06 21:27:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xfcfae3…
07-06 21:27:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd31018…
07-06 21:27:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x8c54f5…
07-06 21:25:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xaeeb42…
07-06 21:11:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	291	66¢	$192	0x8834a9…
07-06 21:11:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	35	66¢	$23	0xa3db5d…
07-06 21:11:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	80	66¢	$53	0x673cd3…
07-06 21:08:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	231	43¢	$100	0x560955…
07-06 05:47:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	580	34¢	$200	0x2c5bd4…
07-05 23:47:40	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	365	27¢	$100	0x055c11…
07-05 21:45:32	will the announcers say var during the brazil vs norway fifa world cup match 20260705030913602	No	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x625161…
07-05 21:45:32	will the announcers say var during the brazil vs norway fifa world cup match 20260705030913602	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x00f897…
07-05 15:26:43	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	187	54¢	$101	0xd0de66…
07-05 15:26:23	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x0c36de…
07-05 15:26:02	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	54	52¢	$28	0xc774b2…
07-04 19:26:01	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	No	SELL	659	5¢	$33	0xe3a1e9…
07-04 19:22:01	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	No	BUY	659	8¢	$50	0xfdf027…