Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
56.6%
Resolved
26
Trades
51
lifetime
Volume
$853
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$224
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 10-21 04:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
58% 57% -$3
Other
37% 55% -$1
Crypto
5% 71% +$2
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -197 -$184 96¢ $-189 -$5 10-21 04:53
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 $0 10-21 04:52
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 10-21 04:49
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 10-21 04:52
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -6 -$5 96¢ $-6 $0 08-28 08:42
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 10-21 04:48