Puzzling-Sister — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$3.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-09 14:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

44% — —

Other

44% 67% +$0

Sports

13% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	8	$240	128	128	+0	open	—	05-30 14:54
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$219	111	111	+0	No	+$0	04-07 18:48
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	5	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	04-22 20:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	5	$154	80	80	+0	open	—	06-08 01:20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	6	$133	145	145	+0	open	—	06-04 20:36
Iran leadership change by June 30?	8	$133	101	101	+0	open	—	06-06 05:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	8	$124	136	164	-28	open	—	05-31 07:03
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	6	$122	96	96	+0	open	—	06-09 14:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 06:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	6	$92	94	94	+0	open	—	06-07 07:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$89	89	89	+0	open	—	06-06 11:25
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$88	120	120	+0	No	$-0	04-22 02:37
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	7	$87	128	128	+0	open	—	04-21 22:48
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	2	$87	44	44	+0	open	—	06-02 01:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$87	45	45	+0	open	—	04-25 17:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$86	44	44	+0	open	—	05-31 17:07
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$85	43	43	+0	open	—	03-27 23:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$84	44	44	+0	open	—	05-19 14:26
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$79	125	125	+0	No	$-0	03-29 13:51
Will Alberta join the US?	3	$78	41	41	+0	open	—	06-03 08:50
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$78	40	40	+0	open	—	04-25 23:10
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 16:10
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	03-26 13:37
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$76	40	40	+0	open	—	04-20 19:57
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$75	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	04-10 20:28
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$75	39	39	+0	open	—	05-29 05:51
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	04-11 09:25
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$75	39	39	+0	No	$-1	04-25 01:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	05-23 07:26
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$69	39	39	+0	open	—	04-22 08:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:57:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	52	66¢	$34	0x80e62b…
06-09 14:57:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x1b1f4a…
06-09 14:55:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x6d6630…
06-09 14:55:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x7029eb…
06-09 10:18:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0xa50c34…
06-09 08:23:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x86d300…
06-08 01:20:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x1e04e0…
06-08 01:20:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x639d3e…
06-08 00:38:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xc94d63…
06-08 00:31:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x17433c…
06-07 23:06:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x1ae07c…
06-07 16:10:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	36	73¢	$26	0xf3ed4d…
06-07 16:10:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x13907b…
06-07 12:48:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$41	0xd2f480…
06-07 07:55:28	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0xb94b28…
06-07 07:55:19	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x12c7aa…
06-07 05:32:54	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x1d54a9…
06-06 11:25:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	89	50¢	$44	0xf70c8e…
06-06 09:28:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	89	50¢	$44	0x79554d…
06-06 05:51:43	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x9fdc9d…
06-06 02:26:12	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x9d980a…
06-05 21:53:24	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xc2d049…
06-05 21:53:24	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x41c7f4…
06-05 17:49:42	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x93b73b…
06-05 17:49:42	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x020295…
06-04 20:36:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	31¢	$17	0xb2a648…
06-04 20:36:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	31¢	$10	0x80ae90…
06-04 19:07:27	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0xc62418…
06-04 19:07:27	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0x1b182b…
06-04 14:16:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	44	39¢	$17	0x8799ec…
06-04 12:36:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x7da630…
06-04 12:36:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x16cb30…
06-04 01:05:42	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x3a3af1…
06-03 23:16:52	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xe728a1…
06-03 08:50:47	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x9110e0…
06-03 08:50:47	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x5ea33a…
06-03 05:37:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x794161…
06-02 22:45:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	58	69¢	$40	0x665a33…
06-02 20:18:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x2c78db…
06-02 01:27:54	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x9673e1…
06-01 23:26:55	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x42f2d0…
05-31 17:07:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xa8f927…
05-31 15:21:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xdb44f4…
05-31 07:03:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x7bb0cd…
05-31 07:03:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x1c2632…
05-30 18:40:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	83	3¢	$3	0x5b2677…
05-30 17:17:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0xd1501b…
05-30 17:17:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x8a707b…
05-30 17:17:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x04efa2…
05-30 14:54:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x9b2eb9…
05-30 14:53:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xf218e6…
05-29 22:51:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	26¢	$20	0x8b27b5…
05-29 20:56:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	25¢	$19	0x5ad41f…
05-29 11:36:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xcba308…
05-29 11:36:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x681bfa…
05-29 11:36:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0x5126fa…
05-29 07:34:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x8371bb…
05-29 05:51:08	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xe5c9d2…
05-29 05:51:08	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x11aa7a…
05-29 01:45:31	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x6f7b80…
05-29 01:45:31	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x439762…
05-28 01:33:03	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	76	51¢	$39	0x134ed6…
05-27 21:45:29	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x9e4cd0…
05-27 21:45:27	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	46	51¢	$23	0x0155fe…
05-26 13:55:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x085286…
05-26 13:52:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xcd0787…
05-26 13:47:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	71¢	$34	0x0d5808…
05-26 07:16:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x4db11a…
05-25 16:02:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	86¢	$36	0x3a7def…
05-25 14:41:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0xa5fe21…
05-23 07:26:39	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd937b9…
05-23 07:26:39	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0xba747d…
05-23 07:17:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x9ab179…
05-19 14:26:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0xaf5ee8…
05-19 12:45:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x5f4e5d…
05-17 13:12:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	3¢	$2	0x8ec4ec…
05-17 11:15:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	3¢	$2	0x192135…
05-16 19:45:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x50774e…
05-16 19:44:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf4e36d…
05-16 15:15:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xedf54d…
05-15 10:26:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0xaa8bbf…
05-15 08:17:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd27a00…
05-15 08:17:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0xa8f9dd…
05-15 06:09:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xc58b0f…
05-15 04:32:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x07f3d4…
05-14 13:05:39	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xf55828…
05-14 08:31:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe49155…
04-25 23:10:36	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x5844ef…
04-25 21:33:28	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xbc19a6…
04-25 17:06:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x44ce25…
04-25 15:17:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xd7e74e…
04-25 15:17:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x393f87…
04-25 01:21:54	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x7cf554…
04-24 22:18:20	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x9cba2f…
04-23 18:23:26	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	85	5¢	$4	0x6f00ea…
04-23 15:41:30	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xf0afa6…
04-23 15:41:30	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x92ef39…
04-23 15:41:30	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x028c99…
04-23 10:34:06	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0xa9b440…
04-23 09:31:12	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x93f047…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	41	$630.7K	9,099	06-10 03:34
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	41	$230.4K	19,174	06-10 02:21
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	39	$79.8K	1,034	06-08 20:34
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	37	$103.2K	32,597	06-10 03:17
(anonymous) 0x238f…3015	35	$3.12K	2,825	06-09 23:06
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	33	$1.54M	20,901	06-10 03:27
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	33	$5.96K	1,315	06-08 23:04
Bony-Dashboard 0xf17b…572e	33	$2.60K	145	06-09 11:50