Will Nico O'Reilly be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
open
Total volume
$1,274
Trades
47
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$167
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-06-02
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-22 09:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.9¢
(top1%: 95% YES on $279
vs crowd: 93% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $336 | $22 | +$314 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $621 | $61 | +$560 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $203 | $2 | +$201 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $8 | $1 | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $265 | $14 | +$251 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $56 | $54 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Below median | 6 | $111 | $1 | +$110 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $547 | $5 | +$542 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $145 | $8 | +$137 |
| unranked | 1 | $98 | — | +$98 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | +529 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-21 03:30 |
| Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | Yes | +470 | $444 | $444 | 4 | 05-22 06:19 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | +300 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 05-21 12:22 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +217 | $5 | $5 | 6 | 05-22 09:10 |
| Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | Yes | +200 | $174 | $174 | 1 | 05-21 03:30 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +145 | $145 | $145 | 2 | 05-22 09:10 |
| Fresh-Economics 0xee03…6edb | Yes | +104 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 05-21 12:22 |
| Married-Glider 0xc0eb…6d57 | Yes | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-19 20:44 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +100 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-21 03:30 |
| Fluffy-Stag 0xec3a…a709 | Yes | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-19 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-19 20:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-22 06:19 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-22 09:10 |
| Dull-Bladder 0x01d8…b071 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-22 06:19 |
| Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-21 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-22 09:11 |
| Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3fe6…8e63 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-19 03:29 |
| Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-22 09:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 09:11:00 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3599d6… |
| 05-22 09:11:00 | Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x3599d6… |
| 05-22 09:10:56 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x25093a… |
| 05-22 09:10:56 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | No | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25093a… |
| 05-22 09:10:56 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25093a… |
| 05-22 09:10:56 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25093a… |
| 05-22 09:10:56 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 113 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd5fde… |
| 05-22 09:10:56 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 131 | 100¢ | $131 | 0xbd5fde… |
| 05-22 06:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x36007c… |
| 05-22 06:19:31 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x36007c… |
| 05-22 06:19:31 | Dull-Bladder 0x01d8…b071 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x727db0… |
| 05-22 06:19:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x727db0… |
| 05-21 12:22:29 | Fresh-Economics 0xee03…6edb | Yes | BUY | 104 | 99¢ | $103 | 0xeb75c8… |
| 05-21 12:22:29 | Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeb75c8… |
| 05-21 12:22:29 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 99 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xeb75c8… |
| 05-21 03:30:13 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x197ec1… |
| 05-21 03:30:13 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 200 | 9¢ | $18 | 0x197ec1… |
| 05-21 03:30:13 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x197ec1… |
| 05-21 03:30:13 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x197ec1… |
| 05-21 03:30:13 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x197ec1… |
| 05-21 03:30:13 | All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | BUY | 529 | 10¢ | $55 | 0x197ec1… |
| 05-21 03:30:13 | Ill-Informed-Trolley 0xceab…dce7 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 87¢ | $174 | 0x197ec1… |
| 05-19 20:44:30 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3eab13… |
| 05-19 20:44:30 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3eab13… |
| 05-19 20:44:30 | Married-Glider 0xc0eb…6d57 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x3eab13… |
| 05-19 14:29:28 | Fluffy-Stag 0xec3a…a709 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x18d496… |
| 05-19 14:29:28 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x18d496… |
| 05-19 04:49:14 | Dull-Bladder 0x01d8…b071 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe8a6dd… |
| 05-19 04:49:14 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x17b0c3… |
| 05-19 04:49:14 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x17b0c3… |
| 05-19 04:49:14 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe8a6dd… |
| 05-19 03:29:15 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4a963f… |
| 05-19 03:29:15 | (anonymous) 0x3fe6…8e63 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4a963f… |
| 05-19 03:28:37 | Dull-Bladder 0x01d8…b071 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xd937f7… |
| 05-19 03:28:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 98 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xaa0de4… |
| 05-19 03:28:37 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 96 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xaa0de4… |
| 05-19 03:28:37 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xaa0de4… |
| 05-19 03:28:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd937f7… |
| 05-19 03:28:37 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $188 | 0xaa0de4… |
| 05-19 02:34:10 | (anonymous) 0x3fe6…8e63 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd1c816… |
| 05-19 02:34:10 | Illiterate-Colt 0xe1a4…a4ba | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd1c816… |
| 05-19 02:33:42 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 93¢ | $112 | 0x302b0e… |
| 05-19 02:33:42 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x302b0e… |
| 05-19 02:33:42 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x302b0e… |
| 05-19 02:33:42 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x302b0e… |
| 05-12 13:58:11 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd2cbec… |
| 05-12 13:58:11 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xd2cbec… |