Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$207
$1,038 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$2,215
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 09:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $1 | $176 | $175 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $29 | $29 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $21 | $21 |
| Median | 6 | — | $129 | $129 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | +183 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | +111 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-08 08:35 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-08 08:19 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 08:19 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-08 03:51 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 20:06 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 14:16 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 08:35 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 22:51 |
| Elastic-Pharmacopoeia 0x59e6…5743 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 09:04 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:43 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-08 08:35 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 10:40 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 05:23 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 05:35 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 09:34:29 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x77e2b2… |
| 05-08 09:34:29 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb1a5d7… |
| 05-08 09:04:55 | Elastic-Pharmacopoeia 0x59e6…5743 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x69ec42… |
| 05-08 08:35:59 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x1ba440… |
| 05-08 08:35:27 | (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | BUY | 111 | 100¢ | $111 | 0x6058cb… |
| 05-08 08:35:24 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa4067e… |
| 05-08 08:34:59 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xc3ac69… |
| 05-08 08:34:31 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1ca716… |
| 05-08 08:34:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5515b… |
| 05-08 08:19:42 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xddd49f… |
| 05-08 08:19:42 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xa3bef3… |
| 05-08 08:05:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x147f50… |
| 05-08 07:43:53 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc51a7d… |
| 05-08 07:43:53 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45bf92… |
| 05-08 07:43:53 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13dccc… |
| 05-08 05:44:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb1efec… |
| 05-08 05:44:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x123956… |
| 05-08 05:35:05 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x1ca80e… |
| 05-08 05:24:16 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x253c2d… |
| 05-08 05:23:37 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2d6906… |
| 05-08 05:13:49 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x63ae13… |
| 05-08 05:13:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c0b09… |
| 05-08 05:13:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e3ca3… |
| 05-08 05:13:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x00c6c1… |
| 05-08 04:58:48 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | BUY | 183 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x62d037… |
| 05-08 04:43:14 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb90dc8… |
| 05-08 03:51:47 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc46137… |
| 05-08 03:19:31 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x047634… |
| 05-07 22:51:34 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4e9305… |
| 05-07 20:06:03 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x674f21… |
| 05-07 14:16:17 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf67405… |
| 05-07 10:40:07 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc48a0f… |
| 05-07 09:24:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60eb55… |
| 05-06 19:54:51 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc66619… |
| 05-06 19:54:51 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d927a… |
| 05-06 19:54:51 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x465dee… |
| 05-06 16:33:01 | Webbed-Fava 0x1425…d60d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe74181… |