Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 26?
No won
Total volume
$5,276
$4,050 in 24h
Trades
127
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$24,581
End date
2026-10-26
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-26 15:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.6¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $3.5K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $4.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $40 | $4.4K | $4.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $2 | $205 | $203 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $7 | $174 | $168 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $5 | $5 | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 16 | $19 | $3.4K | $3.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $2 | $920 | $918 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Below median | 6 | $2 | $281 | $279 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $54 | $54 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $5 | $18 | $13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $21 | $79 | $58 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +2,683 | $2,642 | $2,642 | 12 | 10-26 01:55 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +1,294 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 10-25 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c8a…4c20 | Yes | +1,031 | $2 | $2 | 9 | 10-26 14:29 |
| Gifted-Nursery 0xafc5…741f | No | +884 | $883 | $883 | 2 | 10-26 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | +784 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 10-26 01:55 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | +400 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-26 01:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | +356 | $3 | $3 | 9 | 10-26 02:40 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +234 | $233 | $233 | 2 | 10-26 05:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xede3…5c07 | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 05:35 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | +175 | $171 | $171 | 1 | 10-25 08:59 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +159 | $157 | $157 | 1 | 10-26 02:01 |
| Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 10-26 08:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | Yes | +144 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 10-26 02:37 |
| Unique-Program 0x132e…445e | No | +106 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 10-26 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +86 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 10-26 14:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xba44…9d29 | Yes | +86 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-24 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +80 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 10-26 02:39 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +53 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-26 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x88d8…7234 | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 10-26 00:03 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 10-26 09:12 |
| Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-26 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe877…25c0 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-26 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-26 02:01 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-26 14:48 |
| Rude-Crossstitch 0x0404…4719 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-26 01:47 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 11:51 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-26 14:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-26 10:20 |
| Shy-Disruption 0xf328…5353 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-26 05:55 |
| Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-26 14:48 |
| Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-26 14:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x7459…a257 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 14:35 |
| Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 01:39 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-26 14:48 |
| Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-26 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-26 06:42 |
| Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | +2 | $0 | $340 | 6 | 10-26 08:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 15:00:36 | Gifted-Nursery 0xafc5…741f | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xb988b0… |
| 10-26 15:00:36 | (anonymous) 0xe877…25c0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb988b0… |
| 10-26 14:48:59 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x4150e9… |
| 10-26 14:48:59 | Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xf989ee… |
| 10-26 14:48:59 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf989ee… |
| 10-26 14:48:59 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4150e9… |
| 10-26 14:48:59 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x602d99… |
| 10-26 14:48:59 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf989ee… |
| 10-26 14:48:59 | Shallow-Diadem 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x602d99… |
| 10-26 14:35:42 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x230efc… |
| 10-26 14:35:42 | (anonymous) 0x7459…a257 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x230efc… |
| 10-26 14:35:42 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x230efc… |
| 10-26 14:29:08 | Gifted-Nursery 0xafc5…741f | No | BUY | 869 | 100¢ | $868 | 0x8f73a4… |
| 10-26 14:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x2c8a…4c20 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f73a4… |
| 10-26 10:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x2c8a…4c20 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbe7405… |
| 10-26 10:55:20 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xbe7405… |
| 10-26 10:20:48 | (anonymous) 0x2c8a…4c20 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ea9e8… |
| 10-26 10:20:48 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6ea9e8… |
| 10-26 10:12:29 | (anonymous) 0x2c8a…4c20 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2daa4… |
| 10-26 10:12:29 | Unique-Program 0x132e…445e | No | BUY | 106 | 100¢ | $106 | 0xd2daa4… |
| 10-26 09:40:57 | (anonymous) 0x2c8a…4c20 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89fd8b… |
| 10-26 09:40:57 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x89fd8b… |
| 10-26 09:12:05 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe9c18d… |
| 10-26 09:12:05 | (anonymous) 0x2c8a…4c20 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9c18d… |
| 10-26 08:49:08 | Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x679eda… |
| 10-26 08:49:08 | Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | SELL | 85 | 100¢ | $85 | 0x679eda… |
| 10-26 08:49:08 | (anonymous) 0x2c8a…4c20 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x679eda… |
| 10-26 06:42:23 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x75a558… |
| 10-26 06:42:23 | Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x75a558… |
| 10-26 06:05:06 | Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x232375… |
| 10-26 06:05:06 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x232375… |
| 10-26 05:55:36 | Shy-Disruption 0xf328…5353 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe4c710… |
| 10-26 05:55:36 | (anonymous) 0xcc4e…695b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe4c710… |
| 10-26 05:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xede3…5c07 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x4d5a4b… |
| 10-26 05:35:23 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x4d5a4b… |
| 10-26 02:42:41 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x25df78… |
| 10-26 02:42:41 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x25df78… |
| 10-26 02:40:32 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdeae9a… |
| 10-26 02:40:32 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdeae9a… |
| 10-26 02:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3c761c… |
| 10-26 02:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x3c761c… |
| 10-26 02:39:51 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5f40a4… |
| 10-26 02:39:51 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x5f40a4… |
| 10-26 02:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0c5b9d… |
| 10-26 02:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0c5b9d… |
| 10-26 02:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcb6c79… |
| 10-26 02:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcb6c79… |
| 10-26 02:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1682d1… |
| 10-26 02:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1682d1… |
| 10-26 02:39:17 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b07a8… |
| 10-26 02:39:17 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b07a8… |
| 10-26 02:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x5ce9f6… |
| 10-26 02:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 49 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd01a28… |
| 10-26 02:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd01a28… |
| 10-26 02:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5ce9f6… |
| 10-26 02:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x542bc1… |
| 10-26 02:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x542bc1… |
| 10-26 02:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x542bc1… |
| 10-26 02:39:05 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9f8120… |
| 10-26 02:39:05 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f8120… |
| 10-26 02:38:59 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1d420f… |
| 10-26 02:38:59 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1d420f… |
| 10-26 02:38:53 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x156e86… |
| 10-26 02:38:53 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x156e86… |
| 10-26 02:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb14a22… |
| 10-26 02:38:47 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb14a22… |
| 10-26 02:38:36 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x06994c… |
| 10-26 02:38:36 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x06994c… |
| 10-26 02:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd6af6b… |
| 10-26 02:38:33 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd6af6b… |
| 10-26 02:37:11 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x32a852… |
| 10-26 02:37:11 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x32a852… |
| 10-26 02:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5f9536… |
| 10-26 02:01:00 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2775e2… |
| 10-26 02:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2775e2… |
| 10-26 02:01:00 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 159 | 99¢ | $157 | 0x0b1850… |
| 10-26 02:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5f9536… |
| 10-26 02:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x2775e2… |
| 10-26 02:01:00 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5f9536… |
| 10-26 02:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…f791 | Yes | BUY | 159 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0b1850… |
| 10-26 01:55:30 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 370 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x2496be… |
| 10-26 01:55:30 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2496be… |
| 10-26 01:55:30 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 400 | 98¢ | $394 | 0x2496be… |
| 10-26 01:50:36 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xc0f2b9… |
| 10-26 01:50:36 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xc0f2b9… |
| 10-26 01:47:53 | Rude-Crossstitch 0x0404…4719 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x301a94… |
| 10-26 01:47:53 | (anonymous) 0xcc4e…695b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x301a94… |
| 10-26 01:47:53 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x301a94… |
| 10-26 01:46:24 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x4caa45… |
| 10-26 01:46:24 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x4caa45… |
| 10-26 01:45:20 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x45aa16… |
| 10-26 01:45:20 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 400 | 99¢ | $394 | 0x0428fb… |
| 10-26 01:45:20 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x45aa16… |
| 10-26 01:45:20 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | BUY | 400 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x0428fb… |
| 10-26 01:44:42 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x5c9812… |
| 10-26 01:44:42 | (anonymous) 0xcc4e…695b | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5c9812… |
| 10-26 01:44:42 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x5c9812… |
| 10-26 01:39:12 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6a33b7… |
| 10-26 01:39:12 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6a33b7… |
| 10-26 00:03:02 | (anonymous) 0x88d8…7234 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xdb988d… |