Will Trump say "Neville" or "Chamberlain" in May?
open
Total volume
$716
Trades
56
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$97
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-04
last 06-01 06:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $9 | $58 | $49 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $4 | $501 | $497 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $13 | $114 | $101 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $7 | $6 | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $13 | $100 | $87 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $2 | $192 | $190 |
| Median | 3 | — | $304 | $304 |
| Below median | 5 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $22 | $22 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $12 | $58 | $46 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | +301 | $300 | $300 | 3 | 06-01 06:02 |
| Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | +199 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 06-01 06:04 |
| Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | +168 | $12 | $12 | 6 | 05-29 07:24 |
| Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | +106 | $101 | $101 | 4 | 05-29 07:24 |
| Lone-Thorn 0x1cb6…93f6 | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 17:47 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-01 06:04 |
| Similar-Anybody 0x6e53…22ed | No | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-19 14:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +67 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-31 17:47 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +58 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 06-01 06:05 |
| Ruddy-Con 0x2ebb…0614 | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-19 05:32 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-19 05:32 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 06:02 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 04:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-31 17:47 |
| Capital-Dependent 0xd8b4…1217 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 20:35 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 17:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 17:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x6622…0f4b | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-05 20:35 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +4 | $-1 | $3 | 2 | 05-23 11:48 |
| Frequent-Billing 0xc86b…675c | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 20:35 |
| Numb-Conversation 0xf895…02a4 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 19:41 |
| Wiggly-Boogeyman 0xf24d…7588 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-24 15:26 |
| Scared-Surfboard 0xed7e…80ff | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 13:17 |
| Other-Experimentation 0xdde4…7bfd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 20:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 06:05:04 | Powerful-Shadowbox 0x85ac…4de7 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7f9220… |
| 06-01 06:05:04 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7f9220… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0xa463d8… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa463d8… |
| 06-01 06:04:23 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa463d8… |
| 06-01 06:02:47 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c8098… |
| 06-01 06:02:47 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c8098… |
| 06-01 06:02:47 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x3c8098… |
| 06-01 06:00:18 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd8914… |
| 06-01 06:00:18 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xbd8914… |
| 06-01 06:00:04 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ffaa2… |
| 06-01 06:00:04 | Negligible-Research-Fatherinlaw 0x816b…9ec7 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x1ffaa2… |
| 06-01 05:50:08 | Homely-Submarine 0x1ef6…1174 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc50ef9… |
| 06-01 05:50:08 | Powerful-Shadowbox 0x85ac…4de7 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc50ef9… |
| 05-31 20:30:39 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x00ee89… |
| 05-31 20:30:39 | Other-Experimentation 0xdde4…7bfd | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x00ee89… |
| 05-31 17:47:42 | Lone-Thorn 0x1cb6…93f6 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x975cff… |
| 05-31 17:47:42 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x975cff… |
| 05-31 17:47:42 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x975cff… |
| 05-31 17:47:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x975cff… |
| 05-31 17:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x975cff… |
| 05-31 17:17:38 | (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x148f9c… |
| 05-31 17:17:38 | Tremendous-Administration 0x966c…fa4a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x148f9c… |
| 05-31 17:17:38 | (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x148f9c… |
| 05-29 07:24:33 | Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa93594… |
| 05-29 07:24:33 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0xa93594… |
| 05-29 07:06:52 | Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1119cf… |
| 05-29 07:06:52 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x1119cf… |
| 05-29 04:47:22 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x818996… |
| 05-29 04:47:22 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x818996… |
| 05-29 04:47:19 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x0b5708… |
| 05-29 04:47:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0b5708… |
| 05-29 04:47:19 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x0b5708… |
| 05-24 15:26:26 | Wiggly-Boogeyman 0xf24d…7588 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd7bf44… |
| 05-24 15:26:26 | Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd7bf44… |
| 05-23 11:48:25 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x21e650… |
| 05-23 11:48:25 | Tremendous-Administration 0x966c…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x21e650… |
| 05-20 18:44:21 | Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4303d3… |
| 05-20 18:44:21 | Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4303d3… |
| 05-19 14:56:41 | Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf143a4… |
| 05-19 14:56:41 | Homely-Submarine 0x1ef6…1174 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xf143a4… |
| 05-19 14:06:19 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7b7c76… |
| 05-19 14:06:19 | Similar-Anybody 0x6e53…22ed | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x7b7c76… |
| 05-19 14:06:19 | Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 10¢ | $9 | 0x7b7c76… |
| 05-19 05:32:41 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x551cba… |
| 05-19 05:32:41 | Ruddy-Con 0x2ebb…0614 | No | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x551cba… |
| 05-19 05:32:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x551cba… |
| 05-08 13:17:07 | Limping-Elderberry 0x1d1a…324e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x69ef77… |
| 05-08 13:17:07 | Scared-Surfboard 0xed7e…80ff | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x69ef77… |
| 05-05 20:35:14 | Capital-Dependent 0xd8b4…1217 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x535ea2… |
| 05-05 20:35:14 | (anonymous) 0x6622…0f4b | No | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x535ea2… |
| 05-05 20:35:14 | Frequent-Billing 0xc86b…675c | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x535ea2… |
| 05-05 19:41:26 | Numb-Conversation 0xf895…02a4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x6a8698… |
| 05-05 19:41:26 | (anonymous) 0x6622…0f4b | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x6a8698… |
| 05-04 21:57:14 | (anonymous) 0x6622…0f4b | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x139228… |
| 05-04 21:57:14 | Numb-Conversation 0xf895…02a4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x139228… |