Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 11 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,328
$13 in 24h
Trades
56
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$2,030
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-15 05:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+97.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $59
vs crowd: 2% YES on $5.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $66 | $4.7K | $4.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $7 | $107 | $100 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $33 | $184 | $151 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $5 | $31 | $25 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $59 | — | +$59 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $28 | $126 | $98 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| Median | 4 | $5 | $53 | $49 |
| Below median | 6 | $0 | $4.2K | $4.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $8 | $112 | $104 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $5 | $518 | $513 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollow-Yang 0xe626…6771 | No | +4,199 | $4,195 | $4,195 | 1 | 05-14 23:30 |
| Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | Yes | +3,026 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-15 05:44 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | +1,010 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-14 23:30 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +561 | $518 | $518 | 2 | 05-13 01:40 |
| Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | +277 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-15 05:44 |
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | +181 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-13 15:23 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-14 23:30 |
| Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:50 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 23:30 |
| Appropriate-Bride 0xa41a…117e | No | +76 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-14 05:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +54 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 18:28 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 23:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | +50 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-11 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x07a9…2ab0 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-12 12:04 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 19:31 |
| Striking-Anagram 0xed33…ad20 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 22:13 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 23:30 |
| Early-Mood 0x7ef1…fc93 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 20:07 |
| Portly-Trunk 0xda33…cd9a | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 15:23 |
| Snappy-Validity 0xc549…46f3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 12:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa35…82a1 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 18:52 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 05:55 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 12:53 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 05:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 05:44:49 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c14d0… |
| 05-15 05:44:49 | Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c14d0… |
| 05-15 05:44:21 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 266 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa63afa… |
| 05-15 05:44:21 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | BUY | 266 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa63afa… |
| 05-14 23:30:08 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4961d7… |
| 05-14 23:30:08 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4961d7… |
| 05-14 23:30:08 | Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | Yes | BUY | 2,999 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x4961d7… |
| 05-14 23:30:08 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4961d7… |
| 05-14 23:30:08 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4961d7… |
| 05-14 23:30:08 | Hollow-Yang 0xe626…6771 | No | BUY | 4,199 | 100¢ | $4,195 | 0x4961d7… |
| 05-14 23:30:08 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4961d7… |
| 05-14 22:13:54 | Striking-Anagram 0xed33…ad20 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xb9453a… |
| 05-14 22:13:54 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9453a… |
| 05-14 18:52:23 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0afcf… |
| 05-14 18:52:23 | Gullible-Rib 0xf376…e767 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0afcf… |
| 05-14 18:52:14 | (anonymous) 0xaa35…82a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a7413… |
| 05-14 18:52:14 | Gullible-Rib 0xf376…e767 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a7413… |
| 05-14 05:55:53 | Gullible-Rib 0xf376…e767 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x66682a… |
| 05-14 05:55:53 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x66682a… |
| 05-14 05:55:53 | Appropriate-Bride 0xa41a…117e | No | BUY | 76 | 99¢ | $75 | 0x66682a… |
| 05-14 05:55:53 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66682a… |
| 05-14 05:55:53 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x66682a… |
| 05-13 15:23:02 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x69c3eb… |
| 05-13 15:23:02 | Portly-Trunk 0xda33…cd9a | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x69c3eb… |
| 05-13 12:53:07 | Snappy-Validity 0xc549…46f3 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x8ef4d3… |
| 05-13 12:53:07 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ef4d3… |
| 05-13 12:53:07 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ef4d3… |
| 05-13 01:40:13 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x10cc22… |
| 05-13 01:40:13 | Unknown-Fen 0xdf6e…e39d | No | SELL | 111 | 95¢ | $106 | 0x10cc22… |
| 05-13 01:40:13 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 61 | 95¢ | $58 | 0x10cc22… |
| 05-12 20:07:05 | Early-Mood 0x7ef1…fc93 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x45b01b… |
| 05-12 20:07:05 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x45b01b… |
| 05-12 19:50:15 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x8352d1… |
| 05-12 19:50:15 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x8352d1… |
| 05-12 19:31:35 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xe35c00… |
| 05-12 19:31:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xe35c00… |
| 05-12 18:28:07 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 54 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xc0f5c9… |
| 05-12 18:28:07 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xc0f5c9… |
| 05-12 18:22:55 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x2f3410… |
| 05-12 18:22:55 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x2f3410… |
| 05-12 17:52:55 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd23244… |
| 05-12 17:52:55 | Gullible-Rib 0xf376…e767 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xd23244… |
| 05-12 15:36:32 | Unknown-Fen 0xdf6e…e39d | No | BUY | 111 | 90¢ | $100 | 0x74e4e8… |
| 05-12 15:36:32 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x74e4e8… |
| 05-12 15:36:32 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x74e4e8… |
| 05-12 15:17:13 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | BUY | 550 | 8¢ | $44 | 0xb8497c… |
| 05-12 15:17:13 | Gullible-Rib 0xf376…e767 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xb8497c… |
| 05-12 15:17:13 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 500 | 92¢ | $460 | 0xb8497c… |
| 05-12 12:04:47 | (anonymous) 0x07a9…2ab0 | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0xbd106c… |
| 05-12 12:04:47 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xbd106c… |
| 05-12 04:08:34 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xbd7795… |
| 05-12 04:08:34 | Oval-Market 0xc84e…13b8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xbd7795… |
| 05-11 17:07:53 | Oval-Market 0xc84e…13b8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x0efceb… |
| 05-11 17:07:53 | Weighty-Appendix 0x395d…7313 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x0efceb… |
| 05-11 16:18:48 | Weighty-Appendix 0x395d…7313 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0xd780a3… |
| 05-11 16:18:48 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0xd780a3… |