Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$8,118
Trades
888
Unique wallets
217
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
37¢
Latest NO mid
63¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-04 12:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.0¢
(top1%: 45% YES on $4.1K
vs crowd: 52% YES on $7.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 62 | $2.5K | $2.2K | +$290 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 49 | $571 | $748 | $177 |
| 🐟 Fish | 70 | $528 | $325 | +$203 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $50 | $144 | $95 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 69 | $1.8K | $2.3K | $438 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 32 | $304 | $407 | $103 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $246 | $83 | +$162 |
| Median | 10 | $35 | $14 | +$21 |
| Below median | 41 | $254 | $188 | +$66 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 21 | $137 | $144 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $197 | $154 | +$43 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $622 | $145 | +$477 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | +663 | $315 | $315 | 29 | 10-04 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa645…ccb2 | Down | +531 | $269 | $269 | 3 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +444 | $250 | $250 | 19 | 10-04 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | +387 | $67 | $67 | 10 | 10-04 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +381 | $132 | $132 | 15 | 10-04 12:18 |
| Bulky-Stepsister 0x71eb…b6f1 | Down | +377 | $116 | $116 | 12 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | +344 | $147 | $147 | 21 | 10-04 12:19 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Down | +333 | $86 | $86 | 6 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6798…8c6b | Up | +311 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 10-04 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc1f…723f | Up | +264 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 10-04 12:17 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Up | +238 | $118 | $118 | 12 | 10-04 12:18 |
| Safe-Veldt 0x54c8…3b7e | Up | +238 | $120 | $120 | 10 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | +228 | $147 | $147 | 12 | 10-04 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +222 | $184 | $184 | 19 | 10-04 12:17 |
| Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | +200 | $198 | $198 | 2 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | +200 | $96 | $96 | 4 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | +179 | $175 | $175 | 1 | 10-04 12:18 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +163 | $8 | $8 | 9 | 10-04 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Down | +153 | $84 | $84 | 11 | 10-04 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0282…9ff5 | Up | +147 | $62 | $62 | 13 | 10-04 12:18 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +145 | $22 | $22 | 7 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Up | +144 | $104 | $104 | 7 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | +134 | $83 | $83 | 7 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +132 | $49 | $49 | 8 | 10-04 12:18 |
| Prime-Fiesta 0xe328…f4a3 | Down | +121 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 10-04 12:15 |
| Prime-Fiesta 0xe328…f4a3 | Up | +115 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-04 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | +114 | $38 | $38 | 8 | 10-04 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0282…9ff5 | Down | +111 | $80 | $80 | 10 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3fe…7cb0 | Down | +106 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 10-04 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Down | +106 | $40 | $40 | 7 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x874b…5595 | Up | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | +101 | $29 | $29 | 9 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Up | +99 | $19 | $19 | 5 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e9e…08de | Up | +95 | $92 | $92 | 2 | 10-04 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | +94 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf4e…2290 | Down | +94 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 10-04 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xdefd…1094 | Down | +89 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-04 12:18 |
| Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Up | +80 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | +73 | $55 | $55 | 4 | 10-04 12:19 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +70 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 10-04 12:15 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +70 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xdad8…2b35 | Up | +70 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 10-04 12:18 |
| Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Up | +70 | $42 | $42 | 4 | 10-04 12:19 |
| Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | +68 | $23 | $23 | 16 | 10-04 12:19 |
| Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Down | +66 | $30 | $30 | 13 | 10-04 12:19 |
| Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Down | +64 | $44 | $44 | 15 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Up | +63 | $11 | $11 | 8 | 10-04 12:17 |
| Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Up | +62 | $30 | $30 | 12 | 10-04 12:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b07…7912 | Up | +60 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 10-04 12:18 |
| Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215 | Down | +60 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 10-04 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0719…26ee | Down | +60 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 10-04 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | +60 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 10-04 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Down | +58 | $51 | $51 | 6 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Up | +57 | $13 | $13 | 7 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Down | +56 | $50 | $50 | 4 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Down | +54 | $55 | $59 | 6 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f97…cda9 | Down | +53 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-04 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +46 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 10-04 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | +45 | $63 | $67 | 7 | 10-04 12:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 12:19:17 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x38ceda… |
| 10-04 12:19:17 | (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Down | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x38ceda… |
| 10-04 12:19:17 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x0b2d07… |
| 10-04 12:19:17 | (anonymous) 0x2e9e…08de | Up | BUY | 94 | 96¢ | $91 | 0x38ceda… |
| 10-04 12:19:17 | Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Down | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x38ceda… |
| 10-04 12:19:17 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x20945c… |
| 10-04 12:19:17 | (anonymous) 0x2e9e…08de | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x20945c… |
| 10-04 12:19:17 | (anonymous) 0xf074…723b | Down | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0b2d07… |
| 10-04 12:19:17 | Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0b2d07… |
| 10-04 12:19:17 | (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0b2d07… |
| 10-04 12:19:16 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6ec03c… |
| 10-04 12:19:16 | (anonymous) 0x5e49…d211 | Up | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x6ec03c… |
| 10-04 12:19:16 | (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x21dbd8… |
| 10-04 12:19:16 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x21dbd8… |
| 10-04 12:19:14 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb7604e… |
| 10-04 12:19:14 | Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48 | Up | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xb7604e… |
| 10-04 12:19:13 | (anonymous) 0xdb38…70a7 | Down | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcf4efa… |
| 10-04 12:19:13 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcf4efa… |
| 10-04 12:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x398d76… |
| 10-04 12:19:10 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x398d76… |
| 10-04 12:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xef4849… |
| 10-04 12:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x8677…1428 | Up | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xef4849… |
| 10-04 12:19:08 | Velvety-Likeness 0x897d…3c9e | Up | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x7f265f… |
| 10-04 12:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Down | BUY | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x7f265f… |
| 10-04 12:19:08 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0xa24d07… |
| 10-04 12:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x9b04…032a | Up | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x7cbfab… |
| 10-04 12:19:08 | Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Down | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x059597… |
| 10-04 12:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x1e1a…d554 | Up | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x059597… |
| 10-04 12:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x53d6…d07a | Down | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7cbfab… |
| 10-04 12:19:08 | Solid-Chalet 0xe9f5…cb06 | Down | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa24d07… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x4c91…cf1c | Up | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x6e6620… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x5b2f…d29e | Up | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x017b0b… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | Quintessential-Beef-Living 0x5e89…ce14 | Down | BUY | 0 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x6f315c… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x197145… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x3373…50c4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x6f315c… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x9ebdcd… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xbcb5a8… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | Tight-Motive 0x512d…035d | Down | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x9ebdcd… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xbcb5a8… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x62d0d7… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0xf074…723b | Up | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x7f1f5d… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x8710…a7cf | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xbd4d94… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x8710…a7cf | Up | BUY | 0 | 74¢ | $0 | 0x9ebdcd… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0xb494…fed0 | Up | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x7f1f5d… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Down | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x197145… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x6e6620… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x017b0b… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x1320…b5bd | Down | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xbd4d94… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x1e1a…d554 | Up | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x6f315c… |
| 10-04 12:19:07 | Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Up | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x62d0d7… |
| 10-04 12:19:05 | (anonymous) 0x11a5…5868 | Down | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xacc4a2… |
| 10-04 12:19:05 | (anonymous) 0x2019…e16a | Up | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xacc4a2… |
| 10-04 12:19:05 | Married-Peony 0x8846…b4bf | Down | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xacc4a2… |
| 10-04 12:19:05 | Dull-Footrest 0x5d16…0abb | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x11b858… |
| 10-04 12:19:05 | (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x11b858… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xdb7e7b… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | Fair-Siding 0xa643…22dc | Down | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x62ac9b… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x2bb6…4e09 | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x846b3b… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x31c3…9aa9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x474763… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | Stingy-Aunt 0x28f1…aa18 | Up | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x62ac9b… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Up | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0xdb7e7b… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Down | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd595ff… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xf7c9…7094 | Up | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x22d873… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x846b3b… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x474763… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Up | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x62ac9b… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x22d873… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x474763… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xba9cc0… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x101b…ebbe | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xba9cc0… |
| 10-04 12:19:04 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Up | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd595ff… |
| 10-04 12:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xa645…ccb2 | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x081922… |
| 10-04 12:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xd8df…c3dc | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0d77b6… |
| 10-04 12:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d77b6… |
| 10-04 12:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xf074…723b | Up | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x081922… |
| 10-04 12:19:01 | (anonymous) 0xf53c…d408 | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x01a16b… |
| 10-04 12:19:01 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x01a16b… |
| 10-04 12:19:01 | Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Down | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf93522… |
| 10-04 12:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x1486…28f5 | Up | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf93522… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x874b…5595 | Up | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x6bcdfb… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x6bcdfb… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | BUY | 71 | 99¢ | $70 | 0x96dca7… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Down | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x733c0a… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | Fixed-Pit 0x605b…5d60 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6bcdfb… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | Apprehensive-Instinct 0xa143…a135 | Down | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bcdfb… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | (anonymous) 0xa645…ccb2 | Down | BUY | 250 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x96dca7… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | BUY | 129 | 99¢ | $128 | 0x733c0a… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bcdfb… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 179 | 98¢ | $175 | 0x96dca7… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x733c0a… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x733c0a… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Up | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x6bcdfb… |
| 10-04 12:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Up | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x733c0a… |
| 10-04 12:18:56 | (anonymous) 0xb23a…755c | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x27882d… |
| 10-04 12:18:56 | Apprehensive-Instinct 0xa143…a135 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x27882d… |
| 10-04 12:18:55 | Academic-Scheme 0x6e69…6e36 | Up | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xae82e3… |
| 10-04 12:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x5fc0…b227 | Down | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd293eb… |
| 10-04 12:18:55 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd799e5… |
| 10-04 12:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x5fc0…b227 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2304b2… |
| 10-04 12:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x035f…a1bc | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x15fc79… |