Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$24,009

Trades

1,213

Unique wallets

220

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-21

First seen

2026-03-20

last 03-21 04:00

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +6,541 Striped-Alder +3,091 Required-Click +2,538 Energetic-Hosiery +1,525 (anon) +1,499 (anon) +1,357 Distant-Nexus +559 Joyous-Bachelor +515

NO holders

(anon) +9,577 Appropriate-Sip +3,460 Energetic-Hosiery +1,414 (anon) +762 Cool-Storyboard +500 Golden-Lecture +500 (anon) +316 Silent-Capitulation +300

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +6.4¢ (top1%: 86% YES on $12.4K vs crowd: 79% YES on $22.5K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	15	$14.6K	$1.8K	+$12.8K
🐬 Dolphin	32	$1.8K	$1.7K	+$39
🐟 Fish	60	$879	$699	+$180
🦐 Shrimp	113	$566	$461	+$105

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	17	$10.6K	$1.8K	+$8.8K
🏆 Top 5%	14	$750	$204	+$546
✅ Top 10%	8	$132	$22	+$110
Median	21	$100	$28	+$72
Below median	103	$556	$491	+$64
⚠️ Bottom 10%	26	$623	$465	+$159
🔻 Bottom 5%	21	$3.5K	$367	+$3.1K
💀 Bottom 1%	10	$1.5K	$1.3K	+$224

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Down	+9,577	$1,221	$1,221	62	03-21 03:58
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Up	+6,541	$4,269	$4,269	122	03-21 03:31
Appropriate-Sip 0x1f08…c6f5	Down	+3,460	$104	$104	63	03-21 03:52
Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93	Up	+3,091	$3,078	$3,078	11	03-21 03:57
Required-Click 0x7502…beaf	Up	+2,538	$2,462	$2,462	1	03-21 03:51
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Up	+1,525	$1,033	$1,033	70	03-21 03:47
(anonymous) 0x5485…04a0	Up	+1,499	$1,496	$1,496	3	03-21 03:58
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Down	+1,414	$440	$440	80	03-21 03:39
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	Up	+1,357	$1,356	$1,356	2	03-21 04:00
(anonymous) 0x7c3f…91e6	Down	+762	$142	$142	3	03-21 03:13
Distant-Nexus 0xd882…b9c3	Up	+559	$558	$558	2	03-21 03:54
Joyous-Bachelor 0xa2e0…d084	Up	+515	$325	$325	2	03-21 00:30
(anonymous) 0x5f6b…3f1f	Up	+511	$500	$500	2	03-21 03:52
Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6	Down	+500	$0	$0	1	03-21 03:58
Golden-Lecture 0xf581…0892	Down	+500	$100	$100	24	03-21 02:48
Wealthy-Blast 0x5b69…a6af	Up	+405	$404	$404	5	03-21 03:58
(anonymous) 0x5fa1…e70b	Down	+316	$87	$186	90	03-21 03:39
Silent-Capitulation 0xf023…8e33	Down	+300	$45	$45	1	03-21 03:02
Leading-Pentagon 0x0e98…9e9b	Up	+250	$122	$122	2	03-21 00:10
ftyukon 0x0482…f72a	Down	+250	$100	$100	1	03-21 00:16
Leading-Pentagon 0x0e98…9e9b	Down	+245	$120	$120	3	03-21 00:00
(anonymous) 0x4acf…49ec	Down	+237	$6	$6	4	03-21 03:53
(anonymous) 0x01d8…ba90	Down	+200	$40	$40	1	03-21 02:48
Glittering-Scrambled 0x4d52…3862	Down	+200	$50	$50	1	03-21 02:40
Qualified-Developmental 0x229a…1b0a	Down	+200	$50	$50	2	03-21 02:40
(anonymous) 0x0633…da4b	Up	+177	$88	$88	1	03-21 00:10
(anonymous) 0x0633…da4b	Down	+177	$80	$80	1	03-21 00:06
(anonymous) 0x5fa1…e70b	Up	+162	$124	$124	37	03-21 03:51
Well-Informed-Sack 0x6c54…99be	Up	+159	$111	$111	3	03-21 00:58
(anonymous) 0x5fac…8377	Down	+157	$14	$14	10	03-21 03:29
(anonymous) 0xe193…19ae	Up	+143	$114	$114	23	03-21 02:40
Cruel-Collaboration 0x1ccb…a91e	Down	+142	$0	$0	2	03-21 03:58
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	Up	+142	$87	$87	6	03-21 03:24
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	Down	+142	$49	$49	8	03-21 03:33
Steel-Hometown 0x8888…0b39	Down	+128	$13	$63	8	03-21 03:20
(anonymous) 0x68b6…9c15	Down	+100	$1	$1	1	03-21 03:53
(anonymous) 0xd0de…9635	Up	+92	$75	$75	2	03-21 02:57
(anonymous) 0xd0de…9635	Down	+87	$15	$15	1	03-21 03:05
(anonymous) 0x0615…ccd1	Down	+73	$37	$37	1	03-21 00:00
(anonymous) 0x22da…b24f	Down	+72	$10	$10	1	03-21 03:06
(anonymous) 0x3dcd…913d	Down	+62	$25	$25	1	03-21 00:16
ftyukon 0x0482…f72a	Up	+59	$23	$23	2	03-21 02:05
(anonymous) 0x7c3f…91e6	Up	+55	$44	$279	9	03-21 02:55
Considerate-Racer 0xe28f…a9b0	Up	+54	$31	$397	32	03-21 03:32
(anonymous) 0x70b4…8802	Up	+50	$20	$20	1	03-21 02:03
(anonymous) 0x4b98…63bc	Up	+50	$22	$22	1	03-21 01:56
(anonymous) 0x70b4…8802	Down	+50	$20	$20	1	03-21 00:16
(anonymous) 0x4b98…63bc	Down	+50	$22	$22	1	03-21 00:06
(anonymous) 0x9d67…5676	Down	+50	$1	$1	1	03-21 03:52
(anonymous) 0x9b10…c91a	Down	+50	$2	$2	4	03-21 03:39
(anonymous) 0xe459…6f93	Down	+49	$14	$14	2	03-21 01:11
Perfumed-Command 0x6032…41a1	Down	+49	$24	$24	15	03-21 02:16
(anonymous) 0x65aa…9b8f	Up	+45	$40	$40	1	03-21 03:30
Venerated-Organising 0x527b…9299	Up	+45	$43	$43	1	03-21 03:45
(anonymous) 0xda4d…0483	Up	+39	$19	$19	5	03-20 14:21
(anonymous) 0x1f40…fcce	Up	+38	$19	$19	2	03-21 00:10
Near-Strike 0x679c…afff	Up	+37	$32	$57	36	03-21 03:46
Perfumed-Command 0x6032…41a1	Up	+36	$17	$17	10	03-21 02:14
Steel-Hometown 0x8888…0b39	Up	+34	-$18	$204	13	03-21 03:00
(anonymous) 0x0091…4198	Up	+33	$33	$33	2	03-21 03:57