S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 21? | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$744

Trades

68

Unique wallets

31

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-08-21

First seen

2026-08-20

last 08-21 20:00

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +178 Snarling-Pantology +149 Yummy-Ship +56 (anon) +50 (anon) +39 (anon) +31 Slight-Oyster +30 Petty-Archaeology +30

NO holders

e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 +211 Amused-Structure +116 (anon) +88 (anon) +65 Yummy-Ship +57 Unpleasant-Distinction +35 (anon) +25 Sophisticated-Node-Opening +12

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +13.8¢ (top1%: 21% YES on $122 vs crowd: 7% YES on $705)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	8	$27	$348	$321
🐬 Dolphin	9	$6	$192	$185
🐟 Fish	9	$5	$98	$93
🦐 Shrimp	5	$11	$17	$6

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	7	$25	$97	$71
🏆 Top 5%	4	$7	—	+$7
✅ Top 10%	1	$7	—	+$7
Median	1	—	$10	$10
Below median	5	$0	$150	$150
⚠️ Bottom 10%	1	—	$1	$1
🔻 Bottom 5%	6	$5	$163	$159
💀 Bottom 1%	6	$5	$235	$230

Wallet leaderboard (26) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 0xdefe…17f4	No	+211	$203	$203	5	08-21 18:21
(anonymous) 0x7942…b1f1	Yes	+178	$4	$4	2	08-21 14:33
Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851	Yes	+149	$23	$23	10	08-21 13:32
Amused-Structure 0xc362…0f5e	No	+116	$98	$98	10	08-21 13:00
(anonymous) 0xd188…c773	No	+88	$87	$87	1	08-21 16:44
(anonymous) 0x50b4…c879	No	+65	$65	$65	1	08-21 20:00
Yummy-Ship 0xab15…46e5	No	+57	$49	$49	2	08-21 11:33
Yummy-Ship 0xab15…46e5	Yes	+56	$1	$1	1	08-21 16:44
(anonymous) 0xfab1…f0cc	Yes	+50	$0	$0	1	08-21 20:00
(anonymous) 0x9992…79f7	Yes	+39	$7	$7	2	08-21 11:33
Unpleasant-Distinction 0xf9ef…20eb	No	+35	$31	$31	1	08-21 08:48
(anonymous) 0xe3f0…112e	Yes	+31	$3	$3	1	08-21 15:41
Slight-Oyster 0x0503…4155	Yes	+30	$3	$3	1	08-21 07:07
Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d	Yes	+30	$2	$2	1	08-20 21:30
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	No	+25	$21	$41	2	08-21 12:01
(anonymous) 0xe0cd…d931	Yes	+13	$1	$1	1	08-20 23:32
Sophisticated-Node-Opening 0x995f…3eba	No	+12	$10	$10	1	08-21 12:27
Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1	Yes	+10	$1	$1	1	08-21 01:56
Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6	Yes	+10	$0	$0	1	08-21 20:00
(anonymous) 0xcfa7…4206	No	+8	$7	$7	1	08-21 00:08
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	08-21 16:44
Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	08-21 16:44
(anonymous) 0x59fd…74c8	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	08-21 16:44
Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389	Yes	+5	$0	$0	1	08-21 20:00
Rectangular-Gingerbread 0xb28a…6d4a	Yes	+1	$0	$0	1	08-21 18:21
Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b	No	+1	$0	$34	2	08-21 16:44