Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
closed
Total volume
$2,532
Trades
71
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-02-28
last 03-01 05:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.0¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $34
vs crowd: 0% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | — | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $3 | — | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $2 | $33 | $31 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $2 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| Median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $484 | $484 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy-Inauguration 0xf18d…42ed | Yes | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 03-01 05:05 |
| Tattered-Columnist 0x8457…87fd | No | +1,685 | $1,683 | $1,683 | 2 | 03-01 05:05 |
| Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | +428 | $1 | $1 | 13 | 02-28 19:43 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +419 | $417 | $417 | 6 | 02-28 19:39 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +250 | $0 | $0 | 7 | 02-28 19:36 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +151 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 02-28 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x1439…c73c | No | +107 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 02-28 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-28 06:32 |
| Prime-Centurion 0x5709…22c3 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-28 09:20 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 02-28 06:32 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +75 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 02-28 22:47 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +67 | $67 | $67 | 3 | 02-28 19:39 |
| Grimy-Ocean 0xebc0…fa41 | No | +65 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 02-28 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 02-28 19:39 |
| Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | +54 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 02-28 13:47 |
| Sweltering-Policy 0xe1d2…0ecf | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 02-28 06:32 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 02-28 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4cf…78c4 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 02-28 19:36 |
| Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-28 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 02-28 19:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-28 20:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 05:05:23 | Happy-Inauguration 0xf18d…42ed | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa23e69… |
| 03-01 05:05:23 | Tattered-Columnist 0x8457…87fd | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xa23e69… |
| 03-01 04:55:39 | Accomplished-Granny 0xc876…8711 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d2191… |
| 03-01 04:55:39 | Tattered-Columnist 0x8457…87fd | No | BUY | 685 | 100¢ | $684 | 0x9d2191… |
| 03-01 04:55:39 | Happy-Inauguration 0xf18d…42ed | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9d2191… |
| 03-01 04:55:39 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d2191… |
| 03-01 04:55:39 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d2191… |
| 03-01 04:55:39 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d2191… |
| 02-28 22:47:23 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa30e19… |
| 02-28 22:47:23 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa30e19… |
| 02-28 20:59:43 | Grimy-Ocean 0xebc0…fa41 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x61f1fd… |
| 02-28 20:59:43 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x61f1fd… |
| 02-28 20:00:55 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a1a7c… |
| 02-28 20:00:55 | Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a1a7c… |
| 02-28 20:00:55 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a1a7c… |
| 02-28 20:00:55 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a1a7c… |
| 02-28 19:43:51 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd24b3c… |
| 02-28 19:43:51 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd24b3c… |
| 02-28 19:41:13 | oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfeeda9… |
| 02-28 19:41:13 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfeeda9… |
| 02-28 19:39:41 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0xa3171e… |
| 02-28 19:39:41 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa3171e… |
| 02-28 19:39:07 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf8d84a… |
| 02-28 19:39:07 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ffcf6… |
| 02-28 19:39:07 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x1ffcf6… |
| 02-28 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x4519d9… |
| 02-28 19:39:07 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4519d9… |
| 02-28 19:39:07 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xf8d84a… |
| 02-28 19:38:21 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a7eed… |
| 02-28 19:38:21 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x2a7eed… |
| 02-28 19:37:43 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e78e7… |
| 02-28 19:37:43 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0x2e78e7… |
| 02-28 19:37:43 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xd48a04… |
| 02-28 19:37:43 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd48a04… |
| 02-28 19:36:23 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae9167… |
| 02-28 19:36:23 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xceeede… |
| 02-28 19:36:23 | (anonymous) 0xe4cf…78c4 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x03b93c… |
| 02-28 19:36:23 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d060f… |
| 02-28 19:36:23 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xcc1f34… |
| 02-28 19:36:23 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d060f… |
| 02-28 19:36:23 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc1f34… |
| 02-28 19:36:23 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03b93c… |
| 02-28 19:36:23 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xceeede… |
| 02-28 19:36:23 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xae9167… |
| 02-28 19:36:23 | Grimy-Ocean 0xebc0…fa41 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x0d060f… |
| 02-28 19:35:19 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a0a13… |
| 02-28 19:35:19 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a0a13… |
| 02-28 19:35:05 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaad80b… |
| 02-28 19:35:05 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaad80b… |
| 02-28 19:32:47 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x77c053… |
| 02-28 19:32:47 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x77c053… |
| 02-28 19:29:41 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcb89fb… |
| 02-28 19:29:41 | (anonymous) 0x6586…497c | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xcb89fb… |
| 02-28 13:47:15 | Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0xa12d2d… |
| 02-28 13:47:15 | Studious-Stadium 0xda65…bce0 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa12d2d… |
| 02-28 11:57:17 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x171563… |
| 02-28 11:57:17 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x171563… |
| 02-28 10:35:31 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 133 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0c9a2c… |
| 02-28 10:35:31 | (anonymous) 0x1439…c73c | Yes | SELL | 133 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0c9a2c… |
| 02-28 09:20:59 | (anonymous) 0x1439…c73c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x264d84… |
| 02-28 09:20:59 | Prime-Centurion 0x5709…22c3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x264d84… |
| 02-28 06:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xde89db… |
| 02-28 06:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x1439…c73c | No | BUY | 107 | 99¢ | $106 | 0xde89db… |
| 02-28 06:32:27 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde89db… |
| 02-28 06:32:25 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc8b561… |
| 02-28 06:32:25 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xc8b561… |
| 02-28 06:32:25 | Sweltering-Policy 0xe1d2…0ecf | Yes | BUY | 37 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7bb4a0… |
| 02-28 06:32:25 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x7bb4a0… |
| 02-28 06:32:25 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 63 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7bb4a0… |
| 02-28 05:48:07 | (anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x45319b… |
| 02-28 05:48:07 | Sweltering-Policy 0xe1d2…0ecf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x45319b… |