Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
closed
Total volume
$1,676
Trades
60
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-03
First seen
2026-04-25
last 04-28 09:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10
vs crowd: 13% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $16 | $16 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $125 | $480 | $355 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $25 | $463 | $438 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $2 | $20 | $18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $125 | — | +$125 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $15 | $14 |
| Median | 4 | $13 | $196 | $183 |
| Below median | 4 | $10 | $32 | $22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $36 | $36 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $689 | $689 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | +502 | $10 | $11 | 13 | 04-28 09:53 |
| Greedy-Reactant 0xdb74…9f08 | No | +250 | $245 | $245 | 2 | 04-28 09:53 |
| Competent-Fantasy 0xc8a5…82bd | No | +102 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 04-28 09:19 |
| Giving-Eviction 0xcbac…732c | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 04-26 20:15 |
| Opulent-Communicant 0x7f15…52f1 | No | +48 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 04-25 12:46 |
| Buttery-Tangerine 0x189e…89d9 | No | +36 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 04-26 16:40 |
| Medium-Shipper 0x326f…1a19 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-26 16:40 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-25 12:46 |
| Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 04-25 08:53 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 04-25 17:37 |
| Instructive-Backyard 0x0364…0252 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 04-27 11:40 |
| Lumbering-Material 0x1c0f…99d0 | Yes | +19 | $81 | $166 | 4 | 04-25 08:51 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-25 12:46 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 04-27 02:45 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 04-27 02:45 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-25 14:39 |
| Authorized-Spreadsheet 0x8704…3b94 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-25 08:53 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 04-27 16:15 |
| Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $1 | 5 | 04-27 23:34 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 04-25 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5617…8c67 | Yes | +2 | $10 | $15 | 2 | 04-25 08:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 09:53:46 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 104 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x8412b8… |
| 04-28 09:53:46 | Greedy-Reactant 0xdb74…9f08 | No | BUY | 104 | 98¢ | $102 | 0x8412b8… |
| 04-28 09:19:00 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 102 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x41b937… |
| 04-28 09:19:00 | Competent-Fantasy 0xc8a5…82bd | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x41b937… |
| 04-27 23:34:52 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x974994… |
| 04-27 23:34:52 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x974994… |
| 04-27 23:34:00 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb63423… |
| 04-27 23:34:00 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb63423… |
| 04-27 16:15:58 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x335898… |
| 04-27 16:15:58 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x335898… |
| 04-27 11:40:14 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x20136f… |
| 04-27 11:40:14 | Instructive-Backyard 0x0364…0252 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x20136f… |
| 04-27 09:06:36 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 147 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x43bcc6… |
| 04-27 09:06:36 | Greedy-Reactant 0xdb74…9f08 | No | BUY | 147 | 98¢ | $144 | 0x43bcc6… |
| 04-27 02:45:10 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc42f72… |
| 04-27 02:45:10 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xd8d737… |
| 04-27 02:45:10 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd8d737… |
| 04-27 02:45:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xc42f72… |
| 04-26 20:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0d66ea… |
| 04-26 20:15:02 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0d66ea… |
| 04-26 20:15:02 | Giving-Eviction 0xcbac…732c | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x0d66ea… |
| 04-26 16:40:24 | Medium-Shipper 0x326f…1a19 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0131ff… |
| 04-26 16:40:24 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0131ff… |
| 04-26 16:40:24 | Buttery-Tangerine 0x189e…89d9 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x0131ff… |
| 04-26 13:13:14 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc29249… |
| 04-26 13:13:14 | Acrobatic-Western 0x21b3…5943 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc29249… |
| 04-25 17:37:28 | Buttery-Tangerine 0x189e…89d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x841106… |
| 04-25 17:37:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x841106… |
| 04-25 17:37:18 | Buttery-Tangerine 0x189e…89d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1e20a2… |
| 04-25 17:37:18 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1e20a2… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xcc7243… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x676e04… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x676e04… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xcc7243… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xf97be4… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf97be4… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0xf97be4… |
| 04-25 14:39:48 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x4b0e66… |
| 04-25 14:39:48 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4b0e66… |
| 04-25 14:39:48 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x4b0e66… |
| 04-25 12:46:24 | Opulent-Communicant 0x7f15…52f1 | No | BUY | 48 | 96¢ | $46 | 0xb421a0… |
| 04-25 12:46:24 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb421a0… |
| 04-25 12:46:24 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb421a0… |
| 04-25 10:32:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x30803c… |
| 04-25 10:32:42 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x30803c… |
| 04-25 08:53:34 | Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x4bcbc5… |
| 04-25 08:53:34 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4bcbc5… |
| 04-25 08:53:34 | Authorized-Spreadsheet 0x8704…3b94 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4bcbc5… |
| 04-25 08:51:58 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | No | SELL | 375 | 90¢ | $338 | 0xf0fe68… |
| 04-25 08:51:58 | Lumbering-Material 0x1c0f…99d0 | Yes | SELL | 375 | 10¢ | $38 | 0xf0fe68… |
| 04-25 08:51:26 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | No | BUY | 390 | 75¢ | $292 | 0xffb43a… |
| 04-25 08:51:26 | Lumbering-Material 0x1c0f…99d0 | Yes | BUY | 390 | 25¢ | $97 | 0xffb43a… |
| 04-25 08:49:00 | (anonymous) 0x5617…8c67 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xd5d67b… |
| 04-25 08:49:00 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0xd5d67b… |
| 04-25 08:48:58 | Lumbering-Material 0x1c0f…99d0 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xa33e8d… |
| 04-25 08:48:58 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xa33e8d… |
| 04-25 08:47:40 | (anonymous) 0x5617…8c67 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 25¢ | $13 | 0x704432… |
| 04-25 08:47:40 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | No | BUY | 52 | 75¢ | $39 | 0x704432… |
| 04-25 08:47:36 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | No | BUY | 104 | 75¢ | $78 | 0x334da4… |
| 04-25 08:47:36 | Lumbering-Material 0x1c0f…99d0 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 25¢ | $26 | 0x334da4… |